Celtic vs Celta Vigo Prognose

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Celtic Park, Glasgow
KI-Tipp Celtic oder Unentschieden
40%
28%
32%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Celtic vs. Celta Vigo Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Celtic eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 40%, für Celta Vigo 32% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 22 Oct 2026, 20:52.

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Match Report

Celtic suffered a frustrating home defeat in the UEFA Europa League league stage, going down 2–1 to Celta Vigo despite dominating large portions of the contest. The first half ended goalless, with Celtic enjoying the better of the play but failing to convert their chances. Celta struck early in the second half through Mika Baur just two minutes after the restart, catching the hosts cold.

Celtic were unable to find an equaliser, and Celta compounded their misery with two goals from Javi Rodríguez in quick succession at the 68th and 71st minutes, effectively settling the tie. Despite finishing with 56% possession, 22 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 1.27 compared to Celta's 0.59, Celtic's clinical shortcomings proved costly. The visitors, by contrast, were ruthlessly efficient with their limited opportunities.

The result was a blow for Celtic, who had been favoured to win — a pre-match AI model gave them a 40% probability of victory, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark. A flurry of late yellow cards for the hosts added further frustration to a difficult evening at Celtic Park.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Camilo Durán Yellow Card
23' ▮
HT 0–0
Mika Baur
47' ⚽ 1–0
Callum Osmand ⇄ James Forrest
58' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Hugo Burcio ⇄ Ilaix Moriba
⇄ 63'
Iago Aspas ⇄ Williot Swedberg
Yellow Card
67' ▮
⚽ 1–1 68'
Javi Rodríguez assist: Hugo Álvarez
⚽ 1–2 71'
Javi Rodríguez
Haissem Hassan ⇄ Kasper Høgh
73' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Pablo Durán
Mika Baur ⇄ Oliver Sørensen
79' ⇄
Camilo Durán ⇄ Sebastian Tounekti
80' ⇄
Liam Scales Yellow Card
85' ▮
⇄ 85'
Hugo Álvarez ⇄ Javi Galán
⇄ 85'
Javier Rueda ⇄ Andrés Antañón
Oliver Sørensen Yellow Card
89' ▮
Colby Donovan Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
FT 1–2
Celtic

Match Stats

Celta Vigo
44% Ball Possession 56%
0.59 Expected Goals (xG) 1.27
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 11
6 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 14
2 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
489 Total passes 644
433 Passes accurate 579
5 Free Kicks 9
Celtic
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Mika Baur M 7.7 79' 1 – 1 48 (42%) 1
5 Liam Scales D 7.0 90' – – 1 102 (91%) 3
47 Dane Murray D 6.8 90' – – – 57 (53%) 1
63 Kieran Tierney D 6.7 90' – – 1 55 (46%) 2
51 Colby Donovan D 6.6 90' – – 1 28 (25%) 3
42 Callum McGregor M 6.6 90' – – – 36 (34%) 4
19 Callum Osmand M 6.5 58' – – 1 17 (13%) 1
23 Haissem Hassan M 6.4 73' – – – 13 (12%) –
11 Camilo Durán F 6.4 80' – – 1 10 (6%) 1
8 Benjamin Nygren M 6.3 90' – – 1 37 (33%) –
49 James Forrest M 6.2 32' – – – 12 (11%) –
26 Sam Johnstone G 6.2 90' – – – 59 (55%) –
17 Sebastian Tounekti F 6.1 10' – – – 6 (5%) 1
9 Kasper Høgh F 6.0 17' – – – 4 (3%) –
18 Oliver Sørensen M 5.9 11' – – 1 4 (4%) –
Celta Vigo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Javi Rodríguez D 8.9 90' 2 – 3 83 (76%) 2
3 Marcos Alonso D 7.2 90' – – – 108 (103%) –
19 Williot Swedberg F 7.1 27' – – 3 9 (7%) –
23 Hugo Álvarez F 7.0 85' – 1 – 59 (54%) –
14 Aleix Febas M 6.9 90' – – 4 61 (58%) –
21 Sebastián Cáceres D 6.8 90' – – – 67 (61%) 1
9 Ferran Jutglà F 6.8 77' – – 4 19 (18%) –
11 Pablo Durán F 6.7 13' – – – 3 (2%) 1
30 Hugo Burcio M 6.7 63' – – 2 48 (46%) 2
5 Sergio Carreira M 6.6 90' – – 1 62 (49%) 2
10 Iago Aspas F 6.6 63' – – 3 38 (30%) –
17 Javier Rueda M 6.5 85' – – 1 38 (33%) –
22 Javi Galán D 6.5 5' – – – 3 (1%) –
6 Ilaix Moriba M 6.4 27' – – – 14 (14%) –
28 Andrés Antañón M 6.4 5' – – 1 1 (1%) –
13 Ionuț Radu G 6.2 90' – – – 27 (23%) –
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Celtic oder Unentschieden
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Celtic
WLDWL
Celta Vigo
LLDWW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
32%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Celtic
C. Durán 3 gls
Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Celtic vs Celta Vigo

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Celtic — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Beşiktaş W 3 - 2
01 Nov A Falkirk L 2 - 0
28 Oct H Dundee Utd D 2 - 2
25 Oct A Hibernian W 1 - 2
22 Oct H Celta Vigo L 1 - 2

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Union St. Gilloise L 1 - 2
31 Oct A Rayo Vallecano L 3 - 0
25 Oct H Real Betis D 0 - 0
22 Oct A Celtic W 1 - 2
18 Oct H Alaves W 2 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
13 Radu
3 Alonso
21 Cáceres
20 Rodríguez
5 Carreira
30 Burcio
14 Febas
17 Rueda
23 Álvarez
9 Jutglà
10 Aspas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 I. Radu G
20 Javi Rodríguez D
21 S. Cáceres D
3 Marcos Alonso D
17 Javi Rueda M
14 Aleix Febas M
30 H. Burcio M
5 Sergio Carreira M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Ferran Jutglà F
23 Hugo Álvarez F

Substitutes

35 G. Miller D
6 I. Moriba M
19 W. Swedberg F
18 Yoel Lago D
22 Javi Galán D
4 A. Faye D
11 Pablo Durán F
24 C. Driouech F
1 A. Bayındır G
28 Andrés Antañón M
16 Hugo González F
31 Ángel Arcos F

Celtic

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. O'Neill
26 Johnstone
63 Tierney
5 Scales
47 Murray
51 Donovan
22 Baur
42 McGregor
19 Osmand
8 Nygren
23 Hassan
11 Durán

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 S. Johnstone G
51 Colby Donovan D
47 D. Murray D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
42 C. McGregor M
22 M. Baur M
23 H. Hassan M
8 B. Nygren M
19 C. Osmand M
11 C. Durán F

Substitutes

61 J. Haney M
49 J. Forrest M
9 K. Høgh F
62 Liam Kennedy M
3 J. Lotomba D
33 S. McArdle M
14 L. McCowan M
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
56 A. Ralston D
1 V. Sinisalo G
18 O. Sørensen M
17 S. Tounekti F

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