Sporting CP vs Lask Linz Prognose
Sporting CP vs. Lask Linz Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sporting CP eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 74%, für Lask Linz 9% und für ein Unentschieden 17%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 21 Oct 2026, 21:00.
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Match Report
Sporting CP fell to a surprise 3–2 defeat against LASK Linz at home in the UEFA Champions League league stage, despite dominating possession and expected goals metrics. Luis Javier Suárez gave the hosts an early lead from the penalty spot in the fifth minute, but LASK levelled quickly through Christoph Lang ten minutes later to send the sides in level at the break.
The second half proved decisive for the Austrian visitors. Saša Kalajdžić put LASK ahead on 63 minutes, and just five minutes later Krystof Daněk extended the lead to 3–1, delivering a damaging double blow in a frantic spell that also saw a flurry of yellow cards and substitutions from both sides. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sporting win most likely at 74%, a call that ultimately did not hold up. Suárez pulled one back for Sporting in the 89th minute, but it was too late to salvage a result.
The scoreline belied Sporting's statistical dominance — they held 62% possession and generated 3.18 expected goals to LASK's 1.14 — yet LASK's clinical finishing from just seven shots on target proved the difference on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Sporting CP
Match Stats
Sporting CP
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Luis Javier Suárez F | 8.2 | 90' | 2 | – | 6 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 31 Luis Guilherme F | 6.8 | 11' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 25 Gonçalo Inácio D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 97 (90%) | 1 |
| 30 Kaique G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | – |
| 5 Sergi Altimira M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (62%) | 1 |
| 10 Geny Catamo F | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 36 (29%) | – |
| 58 Flávio Gonçalves F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 19 Nestory Irankunda F | 6.4 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 27 (22%) | 1 |
| 7 Fotis Ioannidis F | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 22 Iván Fresneda D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (68%) | 2 |
| 72 Eduardo Quaresma D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (71%) | 1 |
| 28 Jesse Derry F | 6.1 | 11' | – | – | 3 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 8 João Simões M | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | 2 |
| 20 Maximiliano Araújo D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (44%) | 1 |
| 77 Issa Doumbia M | 5.9 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 2 |
Lask Linz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Saša Kalajdžić F | 7.8 | 83' | 1 | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Krystof Daněk F | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 27 Christoph Lang F | 7.5 | 65' | 1 | – | 3 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 10 Robert Ljubičić M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 45 (40%) | 4 |
| 4 Xavier Mbuyamba D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (38%) | 5 |
| 29 Florian Flecker F | 6.9 | 7' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 8 Moses Usor F | 6.8 | 7' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 20 Kasper Jørgensen M | 6.6 | 83' | – | 1 | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 7 Samuel Adeniran F | 6.6 | 25' | – | 1 | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 43 Alemão D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 1 |
| 30 Sascha Horvath M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | – |
| 16 Andrés Andrade D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 32 (27%) | 3 |
| 18 Alessandro Schöpf M | 6.1 | 25' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 25 Yvan Dibango M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | 3 |
| 1 Lukas Jungwirth G | 5.5 | 52' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | – |
| 33 Tobias Schützenauer G | 5.5 | 38' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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L. Suárez
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sporting CP vs Lask Linz
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct 2020 | Sporting CP | 1 - 4 | Lask Linz |
| 12 Dec 2019 | Lask Linz | 3 - 0 | Sporting CP |
| 03 Oct 2019 | Sporting CP | 2 - 1 | Lask Linz |
Sporting CP — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Moreirense | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Shakhtar Donetsk | W | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Oct | A Casa Pia | W | 0 - 2 |
| 27 Oct | H Maritimo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Academico Viseu | L | 1 - 2 |
Lask Linz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Ried | W | 2 - 4 |
| 03 Nov | H Slovan Bratislava | W | 4 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H WSG Wattens | W | 2 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Ried | W | 5 - 4 |
| 25 Oct | H Red Bull Salzburg | L | 1 - 3 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Sporting CP
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Rui Borges
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kaique | G |
| 22 | Iván Fresneda | D |
| 72 | Eduardo Quaresma | D |
| 25 | Gonçalo Inácio | D |
| 20 | M. Araújo | D |
| 8 | João Simões | M |
| 5 | Sergi Altimira | M |
| 77 | I. Doumbia | M |
| 10 | Geny Catamo | F |
| 97 | L. Suárez | F |
| 19 | N. Irankunda | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Rui Silva | G |
| 55 | Ibrahima Ba | D |
| 28 | J. Derry | F |
| 58 | Flávio Gonçalves | F |
| 9 | Rafael Ferreira Nel | F |
| 7 | F. Ioannidis | F |
| 21 | Pedro Lima | M |
| 31 | Luis Guilherme | F |
| 4 | S. Andersen | M |
| 13 | G. Vagiannidis | D |
| 73 | Eduardo Felicíssimo | M |
| 50 | Rodrigo Dias | D |
Lask Linz
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: D. Kühbauer
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Jungwirth | G |
| 4 | X. Mbuyamba | D |
| 43 | Alemão | D |
| 16 | A. Andrade | D |
| 20 | K. Jørgensen | M |
| 10 | R. Ljubičić | M |
| 30 | S. Horvath | M |
| 25 | Y. Dibango | M |
| 9 | K. Daněk | F |
| 11 | S. Kalajdzic | F |
| 27 | C. Lang | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | M. Verhaeghe | D |
| 7 | S. Adeniran | F |
| 6 | M. Bogarde | D |
| 23 | Daniel Elfadli | M |
| 29 | F. Flecker | F |
| 3 | M. Freckleton | D |
| 45 | N. Kane | F |
| 39 | Christof Katzmayr | G |
| 18 | A. Schöpf | M |
| 33 | T. Schützenauer | G |
| 8 | M. Usor | F |