Como vs Manchester United Prognose
Como vs. Manchester United Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Como eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 40%, für Manchester United 34% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 21 Oct 2026, 18:39.
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Match Report
Como produced a stunning upset in the Champions League league stage, defeating Manchester United 4–1 despite the visitors enjoying the majority of possession. Nico Paz set the tone with a goal inside two minutes, and although United pressed for an equaliser throughout the first half, Como held firm to lead at the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Como win as the most likely outcome at 40%, and that call proved correct.
The second half brought more of the same from the hosts. Douvikas extended the lead just four minutes after the restart, before Paz added his second on 57 minutes to effectively end the contest as a competitive fixture. Jacobo Ramón then made it four on 76 minutes, putting the result beyond any doubt.
United's superior expected goals figure of 2.12 compared to Como's 1.11 tells a complicated story — they created chances but were let down by finishing and clinical defending. Joshua Zirkzee grabbed a late consolation, but it mattered little. Como's ruthless counter-attacking display represented one of the evenings' biggest shocks in the competition.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Como
Match Stats
Como
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nico Paz M | 9.2 | 80' | 2 | 1 | 4 | 60 (48%) | 2 |
| 9 Anastasios Douvikas F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 4 Jacobo Ramón D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 90 (84%) | 3 |
| 20 Martin Baturina M | 7.2 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 38 (36%) | – |
| 27 Yan Couto D | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 48 (43%) | – |
| 5 Máximo Perrone M | 7.1 | 80' | – | – | – | 82 (74%) | – |
| 7 Lucas Da Cunha M | 7.0 | 69' | – | 1 | 2 | 50 (41%) | 2 |
| 6 Luis Milla M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (75%) | 3 |
| 16 Kaiki D | 6.9 | 21' | – | 1 | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 1 Jean Butez G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (33%) | – |
| 2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (71%) | 2 |
| 3 Álex Valle D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | 4 |
| 28 Ivan Smolčić D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 13 Alberto Dossena D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 8 Maxence Caqueret M | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 16 (16%) | 1 |
| 21 Samuele Ricci M | 6.4 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
Manchester United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Amad Diallo F | 7.6 | 44' | – | 1 | 3 | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 11 Joshua Zirkzee F | 7.1 | 23' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 5 Harry Maguire D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 81 (77%) | 4 |
| 1 Senne Lammens G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | – |
| 7 Mason Mount M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (51%) | 3 |
| 17 Andrey Santos M | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 27 (26%) | 3 |
| 18 Youri Tielemans M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (37%) | 2 |
| 8 Bruno Fernandes F | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 46 (37%) | 1 |
| 2 Diogo Dalot D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 47 (40%) | 2 |
| 31 Shea Lacey F | 6.1 | 4' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 4 M. de Ligt D | 6.1 | 79' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | – |
| 10 Matheus Cunha M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 2 |
| 3 Noussair Mazraoui D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (58%) | 1 |
| 20 Carlos Baleba M | 5.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 37 (28%) | 3 |
| 19 Bryan Mbeumo M | 5.8 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 41 H. Amass D | 5.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
T. Douvikas
6 gls
N. Paz
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Como vs Manchester United
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Como — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | A Lens | W | 1 - 9 |
| 01 Nov | H Venezia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | A Torino | W | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | H Sassuolo | W | 2 - 0 |
| 21 Oct | H Manchester United | W | 4 - 1 |
Manchester United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H AS Roma | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Chelsea | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Bournemouth | L | 0 - 3 |
| 21 Oct | A Como | L | 4 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Carrick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lammens | G |
| 2 | Diogo Dalot | D |
| 4 | M. de Ligt | D |
| 5 | H. Maguire | D |
| 3 | N. Mazraoui | D |
| 7 | M. Mount | M |
| 17 | Andrey Santos | M |
| 19 | B. Mbeumo | M |
| 18 | Y. Tielemans | M |
| 10 | Matheus Cunha | M |
| 8 | Bruno Fernandes | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | A. Diallo | F |
| 41 | H. Amass | D |
| 57 | Daniel Armer | D |
| 20 | C. Baleba | M |
| 12 | K. Darlow | G |
| 38 | J. Fletcher | M |
| 39 | T. Fletcher | M |
| 22 | T. Heaton | G |
| 56 | J. Kamason | D |
| 31 | S. Lacey | F |
| 27 | T. Thompson | F |
| 11 | J. Zirkzee | F |
Como
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Butez | G |
| 27 | Yan Couto | D |
| 4 | Jacobo Ramón Naveros | D |
| 2 | M. Kempf | D |
| 3 | Álex Valle | D |
| 5 | M. Perrone | M |
| 6 | Luis Milla | M |
| 7 | L. da Cunha | M |
| 10 | N. Paz | M |
| 20 | M. Baturina | M |
| 9 | T. Douvikas | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | I. Smolčić | D |
| 97 | Robert Sánchez | G |
| 21 | S. Ricci | M |
| 30 | M. Liberali | M |
| 16 | Kaiki | D |
| 12 | Lorenzo Luigi Ginelli | G |
| 13 | A. Dossena | D |
| 8 | M. Caqueret | M |