Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden Prognose
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs. Sweden Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Bosnia & Herzegovina eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 34%, für Sweden 38% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 2 Oct 2026, 20:42.
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Match Report
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden played out a 1–1 draw in League B Group 3 of the UEFA Nations League, with all the action coming in the second half after a goalless first 45 minutes. Viktor Gyökeres had a goal ruled out by VAR in the 18th minute before finally breaking the deadlock in the 61st, giving Sweden what looked like a winning lead.
Bosnia responded quickly, however, and substitute Kerim Alajbegović levelled in the 80th minute to earn the hosts a share of the points — only to be withdrawn himself just seven minutes later. The equaliser came shortly after a flurry of substitutions from both sides around the 76th minute that reshaped the game's dynamics.
Bosnia edged the statistical battle, enjoying 56% possession and registering four shots on target to Sweden's two, though Sweden created enough to threaten throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sweden win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that came close to fruition before Bosnia's late intervention denied the visitors all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Match Stats
Bosnia & Herzegovina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Kerim Alajbegović M | 7.3 | 87' | 1 | – | 2 | 22 (16%) | – |
| 13 Ivan Bašić M | 7.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 67 (60%) | 2 |
| 4 Tarik Muharemović D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 89 (80%) | 2 |
| 18 Nikola Katić D | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 89 (81%) | 3 |
| 9 Jovo Lukić F | 6.8 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 15 Amar Memić D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (30%) | 1 |
| 12 Salko Hamzić G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (29%) | – |
| 23 Haris Tabaković F | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 6 Zinedin Smajlović D | 6.5 | 3' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 14 Ivan Šunjić M | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 16 Ermin Mahmic M | 6.4 | 14' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20 Esmir Bajraktarević M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (12%) | – |
| 8 Armin Gigović M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | – |
| 5 Sead Kolašinac D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | – |
| 10 Ermedin Demirović F | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 11 Edin Džeko F | 6.1 | 63' | – | – | – | 10 (5%) | – |
Sweden
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Viktor Gyökeres F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 26 (18%) | – |
| 21 Alexander Bernhardsson M | 7.7 | 76' | – | 1 | 1 | 20 (18%) | 4 |
| 5 Gabriel Gudmundsson D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | 1 |
| 19 Sebastian Nanasi M | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 40 (37%) | 2 |
| 4 Eric Smith M | 7.1 | 59' | – | – | – | 37 (35%) | – |
| 14 Hampus Skoglund D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 3 |
| 7 Lucas Bergvall M | 6.8 | 14' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 16 Jesper Karlström M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (45%) | 1 |
| 20 Hugo Larsson M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (47%) | 1 |
| 15 Carl Starfelt D | 6.6 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 19 (18%) | – |
| 12 Viktor Johansson G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (19%) | – |
| 22 Besfort Zeneli F | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 3 Victor Lindelöf D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (61%) | – |
| 11 Williot Swedberg F | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
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V. Gyökeres
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Bosnia & Herzegovina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | H Poland | W | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Oct | H Sweden | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Sep | A Romania | W | 2 - 4 |
| 25 Sep | A Poland | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Jul | A USA | L | 2 - 0 |
Sweden — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | A Romania | W | 0 - 1 |
| 02 Oct | A Bosnia & Herzegovina | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Sep | H Poland | W | 3 - 1 |
| 25 Sep | H Romania | W | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Jun | A France | L | 3 - 0 |
UEFA Nations League Standings
League A - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
France
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |
Italy
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |
Belgium
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 |
Türkiye
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 |
League A - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |
Greece
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
League A - Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
England
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 9 |
| 3 |
Croatia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 |
Czechia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
League A - Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugal
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |
Denmark
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |
Wales
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Norway
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
League B - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Slovenia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |
Scotland
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |
FYR Macedonia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
League B - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Northern Ireland
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |
Hungary
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 |
Ukraine
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Georgia
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
League B - Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Austria
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |
Kosovo
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 |
Rep. Of Ireland
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 4 |
Israel
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
League B - Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 |
Poland
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Romania
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 |
League C - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Belarus
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |
Finland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 0 |
League C - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Montenegro
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |
Cyprus
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |
Armenia
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Latvia
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
League C - Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Slovakia
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |
Faroe Islands
|
4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |
Moldova
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 |
Kazakhstan
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
League C - Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iceland
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 |
Estonia
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |
Bulgaria
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |
Luxembourg
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
League D - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malta
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |
Gibraltar
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |
Andorra
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
League D - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Azerbaijan
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 |
Lithuania
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Sweden
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: G. Potter
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | V. Johansson | G |
| 14 | E. Skoglund | D |
| 15 | C. Starfelt | D |
| 3 | V. Lindelöf | D |
| 5 | G. Gudmundsson | D |
| 21 | A. Bernhardsson | M |
| 20 | H. Larsson | M |
| 16 | J. Karlström | M |
| 19 | S. Nanasi | M |
| 22 | B. Zeneli | F |
| 17 | V. Gyökeres | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | S. Dahl | D |
| 10 | H. Bolin | M |
| 2 | F. Beijmo | D |
| 23 | N. Törnqvist | G |
| 11 | W. Swedberg | F |
| 8 | D. Svensson | D |
| 4 | E. Smith | M |
| 13 | K. Sema | M |
| 1 | M. Ellborg | G |
| 7 | L. Bergvall | M |
| 9 | P. Abraham | F |
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: S. Barbarez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | S. Hamzić | G |
| 15 | A. Memić | D |
| 18 | N. Katić | D |
| 4 | T. Muharemović | D |
| 5 | S. Kolašinac | D |
| 20 | E. Bajraktarevic | M |
| 13 | I. Bašić | M |
| 8 | A. Gigović | M |
| 19 | Kerim-Sam Alajbegović | M |
| 10 | E. Demirović | F |
| 11 | E. Džeko | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | L. Đurić | M |
| 1 | M. Jurkas | G |
| 9 | J. Lukić | F |
| 16 | Ermin Mahmić | M |
| 3 | A. Malic | D |
| 2 | N. Mujakić | D |
| 7 | N. Omerović | F |
| 21 | S. Radeljić | D |
| 6 | Z. Smajlović | D |
| 14 | I. Šunjić | M |
| 23 | H. Tabaković | F |
| 22 | M. Zlomislić | G |