Bragança vs Celoricense Prognose

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Bragança

Home

6 : 1

HT 3 - 1

Celoricense

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Bragança

50%

29%

21%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Bragança vs. Celoricense Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Bragança eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 50%, für Celoricense 21% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 16:01.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Über 1,5 Tore 72%

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Timeline

9' ⚽ 1–0

21' ⚽ 2–0

24' ⚽ 3–0

⚽ 3–1 31'

HT 3–1

71' ⚽ 4–1

74' ⚽ 5–1

90+2' ⚽ 6–1

FT 6–1

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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Bragança

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Bragança

WWWWD

Celoricense

LLWWW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Bragança now leads 6-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' Goal 85% sure

Bragança now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 33.4%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Bragança leads 5-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

72' Goal 85% sure

Bragança now leads 4-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 38.5%.

59' Goal 85% sure

Bragança now leads 4-1 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 56.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

50%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

21%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celoricense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	4	1
1	12	14	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Bragança goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

29%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

29%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	6.3%	3.6%	1.1%	0.3%
1	11.6%	13.7%	5.6%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.2%	9.4%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	5.3%	4.9%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.1%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bragança	Draw	Celoricense
Bragança	31.1%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	18.3%	18.7%	9.0%
Celoricense	2.2%	3.9%	11.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bragança vs Celoricense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Bragança — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Celoricense	W	6 - 1
13 Sep	H Ponte da Barca	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Maia Lidador	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Rebordelo	W	0 - 4
23 Aug	H SC Braga B	D	0 - 0

Celoricense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bragança	L	6 - 1
13 Sep	A Chaves II	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Tirsense	W	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Pevidem	W	1 - 0
23 Aug	A Maria da Fonte	W	0 - 1

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.