Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense Prognose

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Ginásio Figueirense

Away

KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose

75%

16%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Fazendense vs. Ginásio Figueirense Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Fazendense eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 75%, für Ginásio Figueirense 9% und für ein Unentschieden 16%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 15:56.

Timeline

18' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 20'

23' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

Red Card

57' ▮

64' ⚽ 3–1

70' ⚽ 4–1

▮ 75'

Red Card

▮ 81'

Red Card

83' ⚽ 5–1

87' ⚽ 6–1

FT 6–1

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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose

Most likely score

2:0 · 10.3%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

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Fazendense

WLLWD

Ginásio Figueirense

Live insights

87' Goal 85% sure

Fazendense now leads 6-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 11.4%.

83' Goal 85% sure

Fazendense now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 19.4%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Fazendense leads 5-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Fazendense leads 4-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

72' Goal 85% sure

Fazendense now leads 4-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 45%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ginásio Figueirense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	3	1	1
1	6	7	3	1
2	10	9	4	1
3	10	9	4	1
4	7	6	3	1
5	4	4	2

↑ Fazendense goals · most likely 2–0 (10.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

73%

4.5

27%

88%

5.5

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

73%

4.5

27%

88%

5.5

12%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

21%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	1.4%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
1	6.4%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	10.3%	9.2%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
3	9.8%	8.8%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	7.0%	6.3%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fazendense	Draw	Ginásio Figueirense
Fazendense	46.0%	1.7%	0.4%
Draw	25.6%	8.5%	2.6%
Ginásio Figueirense	5.6%	3.9%	5.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

73%

3.5

27%

Home Exact Goals

18%

25%

24%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Fazendense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Ginásio Figueirense	W	6 - 1
13 Sep	H O Elvas	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Mortágua	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Mocarriense	W	1 - 0
23 Aug	H AD Nogueirense	D	3 - 3

Ginásio Figueirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fazendense	L	6 - 1

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.