AC Oulu vs Gnistan Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 24

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AC Oulu

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 0

Gnistan

Away

KI-Tipp AC Oulu oder Unentschieden

39%

29%

33%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

AC Oulu vs. Gnistan Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für AC Oulu eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 39%, für Gnistan 33% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 12 Sep 2026, 17:54.

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1st Half Draw or Away 72%
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Timeline

▮ 42'

A. Jouhi Yellow Card

HT 0–0

▮ 47'

Bogdan Milovanov Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 58'

S. Ylätupa assist: Ruxi

⇄ 60'

S. Ylätupa ⇄ R. Eremenko

C. Triana ⇄ L. Ghezali

61' ⇄

⇄ 70'

J. Latonen ⇄ O. Hannula

L. Ghezali ⇄ E. Kallio

71' ⇄

M. Arsalo ⇄ J. Paananen

71' ⇄

T. Kaukua ⇄ N. Jokelainen

71' ⇄

J. Paananen

75' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 77'

P. Gnanou Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 82'

R. Eremenko Penalty

O. Kemppainen ⇄ S. Sipola

84' ⇄

⇄ 86'

A. Atarah ⇄ S. Eremenko

J. Paananen Yellow Card

90' ▮

FT 1–2

AC Oulu

Match Stats

Gnistan

53% Ball Possession 47%

9 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Goal 5

2 Shots off Goal 9

3 Blocked Shots 0

5 Shots insidebox 7

4 Shots outsidebox 7

3 Corner Kicks 3

4 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

498 Total passes 305

410 Passes accurate 228

13 Free Kicks 11

AC Oulu

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 J. Paananen M	7.4	19'	1	–	1	17 (11%)	–
66 J. Pirinen D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	79 (71%)	2
5 M. Pitkänen D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	70 (63%)	2
18 Adramane Cassamá D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	63 (53%)	5
16 O. Kemppainen D	6.8	84'	–	–	1	36 (31%)	2
10 C. Triana F	6.7	61'	–	–	2	17 (12%)	–
2 S. Sipola D	6.6	6'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
27 E. Kallio F	6.4	19'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
21 I. Mendolin M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	3
22 T. Kaukua F	6.3	71'	–	–	–	21 (12%)	4
25 M. Arsalo M	6.3	71'	–	–	–	52 (41%)	–
9 R. Riski F	6.2	90'	–	–	3	9 (7%)	1
13 Miguel Santos G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	41 (30%)	–
14 N. Jokelainen M	6.1	19'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
7 R. Karjalainen M	6.0	90'	–	–	1	18 (13%)	2
11 L. Ghezali F	5.9	10'	–	–	–	–	–

Gnistan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 S. Ylätupa M	7.9	60'	1	–	2	13 (10%)	–
26 R. Eremenko M	7.6	30'	1	–	2	15 (13%)	1
31 A. Jouhi M	6.8	90'	–	–	1	34 (31%)	2
15 G. Europaeus M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	49 (41%)	–
1 O. Virtanen G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	23 (14%)	–
67 A. Obileye D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	20 (16%)	3
10 J. Latonen F	6.5	70'	–	–	3	20 (14%)	–
14 S. Eremenko M	6.4	4'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
3 Ruxi D	6.4	90'	–	1	–	26 (17%)	–
12 E. Arko-Mensah D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	17 (12%)	1
27 O. Hannula M	6.3	20'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
24 P. Gnanou D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	34 (23%)	5
7 A. Atarah M	6.1	86'	–	–	1	24 (17%)	3
19 Bogdan Milovanov D	6.0	90'	–	–	2	24 (14%)	3

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

AC Oulu oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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AC Oulu

LLLDW

Gnistan

DWDDW

Last 1 meetings AC Oulu · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gnistan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	5	2	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ AC Oulu goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

AC Oulu

J. Körkkö 2 gls

E. Kallio 2 gls

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	6.8%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
1	7.6%	13.6%	8.0%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.6%	8.8%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.2%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Oulu	Draw	Gnistan
AC Oulu	21.9%	4.0%	1.6%
Draw	15.1%	17.4%	11.3%
Gnistan	2.7%	5.2%	20.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Oulu vs Gnistan

0 AC Oulu Wins

0 Draws

1 Gnistan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jul 2026	AC Oulu	0 - 2	Gnistan

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Inter Turku	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Gnistan	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A VPS	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H SJK	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	A FF Jaro	W	0 - 1

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

AC Oulu

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Isokangas

13 Santos

18 Cassamá

66 Pirinen

5 Pitkänen

16 Kemppainen

21 Mendolin

7 Karjalainen

25 Arsalo

22 Kaukua

9 Riski

10 Triana

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
16	O. Kemppainen	D
5	M. Pitkänen	D
66	J. Pirinen	D
18	Adramane Cassamá	D
25	M. Arsalo	M
7	R. Karjalainen	M
21	I. Mendolin	M
10	C. Triana	F
9	R. Riski	F
22	T. Kaukua	F

Substitutes

27	E. Kallio	F
99	N. Schulz	G
2	S. Sipola	D
3	J. Lietsa	D
29	S. Silander	D
6	J. Paananen	M
8	M. Ojala	M
11	L. Ghezali	F
14	N. Jokelainen	M

Gnistan

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

1 Virtanen

12 Arko-Mensah

3 Ruxi

67 Obileye

24 Gnanou

19 Milovanov

23 Ylätupa

15 Europaeus

31 Jouhi

7 Atarah

10 Latonen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	O. Virtanen	G
19	B. Milovanov	D
24	P. Gnanou	D
67	A. Obileye	D
3	Ruxi	D
12	E. Arko-Mensah	D
7	A. Atarah	M
31	A. Jouhi	M
15	G. Europaeus	M
23	S. Ylätupa	M
10	J. Latonen	F

Substitutes

26	R. Eremenko	M
27	O. Hannula	M
14	S. Eremenko	M
25	Noah Rossi	D
2	B. Dahlström	D
13	O. Lyberopoulos	G
45	Kosmo Launiala	F