AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz Prognose

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 1
FT
Post on X
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für AEK Athens FC
53%
25%
23%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

AEK Athens FC vs. Lask Linz Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für AEK Athens FC eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 53%, für Lask Linz 23% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 8 Sep 2026, 18:38.

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Match Report

AEK Athens FC claimed a narrow but important 1–0 victory over LASK Linz in their UEFA Champions League league stage opener, with the only goal arriving early. Răzvan Marin broke the deadlock in the 21st minute with a composed finish, giving the Greek side an advantage they would protect for the remainder of the contest. The scoreline was level at the break, with AEK holding their lead into half-time.

LASK grew into the match as the second half progressed, generating the greater share of attacking threat. The Austrian side registered 18 total shots to AEK's 11 and earned seven corner kicks, yet struggled to convert their pressure into an equaliser. A moment of controversy arrived in the 65th minute when Luka Jović had a goal ruled out by VAR, a decision that proved pivotal in denying LASK a foothold in the game.

Discipline was a recurring theme throughout, with four yellow cards issued across both sides. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AEK Athens win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that proved correct as the hosts held firm for a hard-fought three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card
11'
Răzvan Marin
21' 1–0
Luka Jović Yellow Card
40'
42'
Melayro Bogarde Yellow Card
HT 1–0
65'
Robert Ljubičić ⇄ Alessandro Schöpf
65'
Kasper Jørgensen ⇄ Florian Flecker
Luka Jović Goal cancelled
65' 🖵
74'
Christoph Lang ⇄ Saša Kalajdžić
80'
Andrés Andrade Yellow Card
Luka Jović ⇄ Zini
82'
Aboubakary Koita ⇄ Mijat Gaćinović
90+1'
Lovro Majer ⇄ Kervin Arriaga
90+1'
FT 1–0
AEK Athens FC

Match Stats

Lask Linz
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 6
9 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 0
6 Fouls 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
405 Total passes 428
342 Passes accurate 346
14 Free Kicks 5
AEK Athens FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Răzvan Marin M 8.2 90' 1 2 49 (43%) 2
2 Harold Moukoudi D 7.9 90' 1 50 (47%)
44 Filipe Relvas D 7.8 90' 2 51 (47%)
12 Lazaros Rota D 7.7 90' 1 41 (34%) 2
3 Stavros Pilios D 7.5 90' 47 (38%) 1
91 Alberto Brignoli G 7.3 90' 21 (16%)
14 Lovro Majer M 7.2 89' 1 37 (31%) 2
27 Milán Vitális M 7.1 90' 1 37 (33%) 4
11 Aboubakary Koita M 7.1 89' 3 27 (25%) 3
90 Zini F 6.6 8' 1 3 (3%)
19 Barnabás Varga F 6.5 90' 4 21 (9%) 2
9 Luka Jović F 6.1 82' 2 18 (14%)
16 Kervin Arriaga M 0.0 1' 3 (2%)
8 Mijat Gaćinović M 0.0 1'
Lask Linz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Lukas Jungwirth G 7.0 90' 32 (25%)
43 Alemão D 7.0 90' 1 47 (45%) 2
2 George Bello M 6.7 90' 1 27 (24%) 4
20 Kasper Jørgensen M 6.5 65' 23 (18%) 1
4 Xavier Mbuyamba D 6.4 90' 66 (50%) 4
27 Christoph Lang F 6.4 74' 1 14 (13%) 1
10 Robert Ljubičić M 6.3 65' 1 25 (21%) 4
8 Moses Usor F 6.3 90' 1 23 (18%) 1
30 Sascha Horvath M 6.2 90' 3 41 (36%)
6 Melayro Bogarde M 6.2 90' 1 36 (28%) 3
11 Saša Kalajdžić F 6.1 16' 1 8 (3%)
29 Florian Flecker F 5.9 25' 11 (11%)
18 Alessandro Schöpf M 5.8 25' 18 (17%)
16 Andrés Andrade D 5.2 90' 1 57 (37%) 2
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für AEK Athens FC
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AEK Athens FC
WWDWW
Lask Linz
DLLWW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
23%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

AEK Athens FC
B. Varga 2 gls
Lask Linz

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

AEK Athens FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Volos NFC W 1 - 2
17 Sep H Panserraikos W 8 - 1
13 Sep A Asteras Tripolis D 1 - 1
08 Sep H Lask Linz W 1 - 0
05 Sep H Aris Thessalonikis W 5 - 0

Lask Linz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A TSV Hartberg D 3 - 3
13 Sep A Sturm Graz L 2 - 1
08 Sep A AEK Athens FC L 1 - 0
05 Sep A Deutschlandsberger SC W 1 - 6
01 Sep A Wolfsberger AC W 1 - 3

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Lask Linz

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: D. Kühbauer
1 Jungwirth
16 Andrade
43 Alemão
4 Mbuyamba
6 Bogarde
2 Bello
30 Horvath
10 Ljubičić
20 Jørgensen
27 Lang
8 Usor

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Jungwirth G
4 X. Mbuyamba D
43 Alemão D
16 A. Andrade D
6 M. Bogarde M
20 K. Jørgensen M
10 R. Ljubičić M
30 S. Horvath M
2 G. Bello M
8 M. Usor F
27 C. Lang F

Substitutes

21 M. Verhaeghe D
33 T. Schützenauer G
18 A. Schöpf M
45 N. Kane F
11 S. Kalajdzic F
3 M. Freckleton D
29 F. Flecker F
23 Daniel Elfadli M
25 Y. Dibango D
9 K. Daněk M
50 Fabian Schillinger G

AEK Athens FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: M. Nikolić
91 Brignoli
3 Pilios
44 Relvas
2 Moukoudi
12 Rota
11 Koita
18 Marin
27 Vitális
14 Majer
9 Jović
19 Varga

Starting XI

# Player Pos
91 A. Brignoli G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 Filipe Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
14 L. Majer M
27 M. Vitális M
18 R. Marin M
11 A. Koita M
19 B. Varga F
9 L. Jović F

Substitutes

10 O. Zubkov M
90 Zini F
21 D. Vida D
20 P. Mantalos M
22 C. Lykogiannis D
6 K. Kairinen M
23 João Mário M
8 M. Gaćinović M
41 Marios Balamotis G
16 K. Arriaga M

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