Oviedo vs Alaves Prognose
Oviedo vs. Alaves Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Oviedo eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 31%, für Alaves 38% und für ein Unentschieden 32%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Alaves claimed all three points at Oviedo thanks to an early Toni Martínez goal, the striker finding the net in the 17th minute to give the visitors a lead they would protect for the remainder of the contest. The scoreline remained 0–1 at the interval, with Alaves already in control of the tempo.
The second half saw both sides ring the changes, with a combined ten substitutions across the two teams as managers looked to either consolidate or find a breakthrough. Oviedo collected three yellow cards — shown to Thiago Fernández, Federico Viñas, and Lucas Ahijado — reflecting the frustration of a side unable to convert their pressure into clear opportunities. The home side actually posted the higher expected goals figure of 1.46 compared to Alaves's 0.45, yet managed just one shot on target all match.
Alaves's disciplined defensive display, backed by 70 percent possession, proved sufficient to see out a narrow but deserved victory. The result aligned with the pre-match assessment from our AI model, which had identified an Alaves win as the most probable outcome at 38 percent.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Oviedo
Match Stats
Oviedo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Santi Cazorla M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (59%) | 3 |
| 12 Dani Calvo D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (66%) | 2 |
| 5 Alberto Reina M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (45%) | 1 |
| 10 Haissem Hassan M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | – |
| 11 Santiago Colombatto M | 6.9 | 66' | – | – | – | 51 (49%) | 1 |
| 4 David Costas D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (55%) | – |
| 9 Federico Viñas F | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 23 Nicolas Fonseca M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 1 |
| 17 Thiago Borbas F | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 22 Nacho Vidal D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 7 Ilyas Chaira F | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 15 Thiago Fernández F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 1 Horațiu Moldovan G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | – |
| 19 Álex Forés F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 24 Lucas Ahijado D | 6.2 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 52 (44%) | – |
| 25 Javi López D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (48%) | – |
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach M | 7.6 | 45' | – | 1 | – | 12 (6%) | 2 |
| 7 Ángel Pérez M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 24 Victor Parada D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | 4 |
| 18 Jon Guridi M | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 25 (23%) | 3 |
| 16 Ville Koski D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | 1 |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (18%) | – |
| 3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 2 |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 4 |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 23 Carlos Benavídez M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (23%) | 2 |
| 34 Aitor Mañas F | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 22 Ibrahim Diabaté F | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 11 (4%) | 1 |
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 6.2 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (8%) | – |
| 15 Lucas Boyé F | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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L. Boyé
4 gls
M. Díaz
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Oviedo vs Alaves
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan 2026 | Alaves | 1 - 1 | Oviedo |
Oviedo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Sabadell | L | 3 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Valladolid | W | 0 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | H Burgos | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Albacete | W | 0 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Leganes | L | 0 - 1 |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Athletic Club | D | 0 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Valencia | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Racing Santander | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 5 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | H Villarreal | W | 1 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Alaves
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Quique Sanchez Flores
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Sivera | G |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 24 | V. Parada | D |
| 7 | A. Perez | M |
| 18 | J. Guridi | M |
| 8 | A. Blanco | M |
| 4 | D. Suarez | M |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | M |
| 22 | I. Diabate | F |
| 11 | T. Martinez | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | R. Fernandez | G |
| 17 | Jonny Otto | D |
| 34 | A. Manas | - |
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 9 | M. Diaz | F |
| 15 | L. Boye | F |
| 10 | C. Alena | M |
| 23 | C. Protesoni | M |
| 6 | A. Guevara | M |
| 5 | J. Pacheco | D |
| 20 | Calebe | M |
| 19 | P. Ibanez | M |
Oviedo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Moldovan | G |
| 24 | L. Ahijado | D |
| 4 | D. Costas | D |
| 12 | D. Calvo | D |
| 25 | J. Lopez | D |
| 23 | N. Fonseca | M |
| 11 | S. Colombatto | M |
| 10 | H. Hassan | M |
| 8 | S. Cazorla | M |
| 5 | A. Reina | M |
| 9 | F. Vinas | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | A. Escandell | G |
| 26 | M. Narvaez | G |
| 2 | E. Bailly | D |
| 21 | L. Ilic | M |
| 22 | N. Vidal | D |
| 6 | K. Sibo | M |
| 16 | D. Carmo | D |
| 7 | I. Chaira | F |
| 17 | T. Borbas | F |
| 19 | A. Fores | F |
| 3 | R. Alhassane | D |
| 15 | T. Fernandez | F |