Real Madrid vs Oviedo Prognose
Real Madrid vs. Oviedo Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Real Madrid eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 88%, für Oviedo 3% und für ein Unentschieden 10%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Real Madrid secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Oviedo in La Liga matchday 36, with the hosts dominating possession at 65% and registering 19 total shots to Oviedo's nine. Gonzalo García broke the deadlock just before half-time in the 44th minute, giving Madrid a deserved lead they carried into the interval.
The second half saw a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with Jude Bellingham putting the result beyond doubt in the 80th minute to seal the three points. Madrid's seven shots on target compared to Oviedo's single effort underlined the gulf between the two sides, even if the expected goals figures — 1.36 to 1.04 — suggested Oviedo created slightly more than the scoreline implies.
The result was largely as anticipated, with our pre-match AI model having rated a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 88%. Madrid continue their strong end-of-season form, while Oviedo will reflect on a difficult evening in the capital despite showing some resilience in terms of corner kicks and overall shot volume.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Real Madrid
Match Stats
Real Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Gonzalo García F | 8.2 | 69' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 5 Jude Bellingham M | 7.9 | 26' | 1 | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 6 Eduardo Camavinga M | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (71%) | 3 |
| 17 Raúl Asencio D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (61%) | 2 |
| 21 Brahim Díaz M | 7.3 | 77' | – | 1 | 3 | 44 (41%) | – |
| 14 Aurélien Tchouaméni M | 7.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 76 (74%) | 1 |
| 4 David Alaba D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (60%) | – |
| 7 Vinícius Júnior F | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (30%) | 1 |
| 1 Thibaut Courtois G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 12 Trent Alexander-Arnold D | 7.2 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 37 (31%) | – |
| 30 Franco Mastantuono M | 7.0 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 44 (40%) | – |
| 2 Daniel Carvajal D | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | 2 |
| 18 Álvaro Carreras D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 67 (66%) | 1 |
| 42 Daniel Yañez F | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 10 Kylian Mbappé F | 6.6 | 21' | – | 1 | 2 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 38 César Palacios M | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
Oviedo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Haissem Hassan F | 7.0 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 23 Nicolas Fonseca M | 7.0 | 79' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | 3 |
| 13 Aarón Escandell G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (25%) | – |
| 2 Eric Bailly D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | 1 |
| 9 Federico Viñas F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | 2 |
| 22 Nacho Vidal D | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 27 (23%) | – |
| 5 Alberto Reina M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (30%) | 1 |
| 8 Santi Cazorla M | 6.7 | 36' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 15 Thiago Fernández F | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 7 Ilyas Chaira F | 6.5 | 54' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | 2 |
| 3 Abdel Rahim D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | 1 |
| 27 Pablo Agudín M | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 4 David Costas D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (36%) | – |
| 24 Lucas Ahijado D | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 11 Santiago Colombatto M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Kylian Mbappé
7 gls
J. Bellingham
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Real Madrid vs Oviedo
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2025 | Oviedo | 0 - 3 | Real Madrid |
Real Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Atletico Madrid | L | 2 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Elche | W | 2 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | H Rayo Vallecano | W | 4 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Inter | W | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Real Betis | L | 1 - 0 |
Oviedo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Sabadell | L | 3 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Valladolid | W | 0 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | H Burgos | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Albacete | W | 0 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Leganes | L | 0 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Real Madrid
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Courtois | G |
| 12 | T. Alexander-Arnold | D |
| 17 | R. Asencio | D |
| 4 | D. Alaba | D |
| 18 | A. Carreras | D |
| 30 | F. Mastantuono | M |
| 6 | E. Camavinga | M |
| 14 | A. Tchouameni | M |
| 21 | B. Diaz | M |
| 16 | G. Garcia | F |
| 7 | Vinicius Junior | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Fran | G |
| 43 | S. Mestre | G |
| 2 | D. Carvajal | D |
| 22 | A. Rudiger | D |
| 10 | K. Mbappe | F |
| 38 | C. Palacios | M |
| 36 | J. Martinez | D |
| 45 | T. Pitarch | M |
| 20 | F. Garcia | D |
| 5 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 42 | D. Yanez | F |
Oviedo
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Escandell | G |
| 22 | N. Vidal | D |
| 2 | E. Bailly | D |
| 4 | D. Costas | D |
| 3 | R. Alhassane | D |
| 23 | N. Fonseca | M |
| 11 | S. Colombatto | M |
| 5 | A. Reina | M |
| 7 | I. Chaira | F |
| 9 | F. Vinas | F |
| 15 | T. Fernandez | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | H. Moldovan | G |
| 8 | S. Cazorla | M |
| 12 | D. Calvo | D |
| 24 | L. Ahijado | D |
| 21 | L. Ilic | M |
| 16 | D. Carmo | D |
| 10 | H. Hassan | F |
| 17 | T. Borbas | F |
| 19 | A. Fores | F |
| 27 | P. Agudin | M |