Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden Prognose

UEFA Europa League · Play-offs

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Omonia Nicosia

Home

4 : 2

HT 2 - 1

Hinspiel 0-1 · Gesamt 4-3

St. Truiden

Away

KI-Tipp Omonia Nicosia oder Unentschieden

41%

29%

30%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Omonia Nicosia vs. St. Truiden Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Omonia Nicosia eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 41%, für St. Truiden 30% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Aug 2026, 18:55.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Über 1,5 Tore 70%

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Match Report

Omonia Nicosia secured a commanding 4–2 victory over St. Truiden in their UEFA Europa League play-off clash, with the hosts in control for much of the contest. A penalty on 16 minutes opened the scoring, and a second goal on 29 minutes gave Omonia a cushion before St. Truiden pulled one back through Ilias Sebaoui's penalty on 33 minutes to make it 2–1 at the break. The match saw a flurry of yellow cards throughout, with Sebaoui himself booked just seven minutes after scoring.

Omonia extended their lead shortly after the restart with a goal on 50 minutes, and despite a period of pressure from the Belgian side, Nikolas Panagiotou added a fourth on 82 minutes to put the result beyond doubt. Sebaoui rounded off the scoring with his second of the night deep into stoppage time, though it proved only a consolation.

The result was the most likely outcome according to our pre-match AI model, which had rated an Omonia win at 41%. The Cypriot side now advance in the competition with a convincing aggregate cushion.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 9'

Shogo Taniguchi Yellow Card

Penalty

16' ⚽ 1–0

assist: Ewandro Costa

29' ⚽ 2–0

Senou Coulibaly Yellow Card

32' ▮

⚽ 2–1 33'

Ilias Sebaoui Penalty

▮ 40'

Ilias Sebaoui Yellow Card

HT 2–1

assist: Ewandro Costa

50' ⚽ 3–1

62' ⇄

▮ 64'

Samed Baždar Yellow Card

⇄ 71'

Ryan Merlen ⇄ Kaito Matsuzawa

⇄ 71'

⇄ Ryotaro Araki

76' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Samed Baždar

⇄ 81'

Robert-Jan Vanwesemael ⇄ Taiga Hata

Nikolas Panagiotou assist: Senou Coulibaly

82' ⚽ 4–1

▮ 84'

Abdoulaye Sissako Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

Joedrick Pupe ⇄ Wolke Janssens

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

⚽ 4–2 90+2'

Ilias Sebaoui assist: Abdoulaye Sissako

Muamer Tanković ⇄ Ioannis Kousoulos

90+3' ⇄

FT 4–2

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Omonia Nicosia oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Omonia Nicosia

WWDWL

St. Truiden

LLWLW

Last 1 meetings Omonia Nicosia · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

St. Truiden goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	4	1
2	6	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Omonia Nicosia goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Omonia Nicosia

J. Balkovec 1 gls

St. Truiden

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 31% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	10.1%	7.5%	3.2%	1.0%
1	8.6%	14.8%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.7%	7.3%	4.6%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.1%	2.7%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Omonia Nicosia	Draw	St. Truiden
Omonia Nicosia	19.2%	5.3%	2.6%
Draw	11.2%	20.2%	17.1%
St. Truiden	1.2%	3.5%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden

0 Omonia Nicosia Wins

0 Draws

1 St. Truiden Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	St. Truiden	1 - 0	Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Krasava Ypsonas	W	4 - 1
16 Sep	H Celta Vigo	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Apollon Limassol	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Aris	W	1 - 4
03 Sep	H Pafos	L	0 - 1

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A SK Beveren	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H RAAL La Louvière	W	4 - 0
02 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	A Antwerp	W	1 - 4

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

St. Truiden

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: David Pagou

16 Kokubo

23 Pupe

5 Taniguchi

26 Musliu

7 Muja

18 Ishiwatari

8 Sissako

14 Merlen

60 Vanwesemael

9 Baždar

10 Sebaoui

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Léo Kokubo	G
26	Visar Musliu	D
5	Shogo Taniguchi	D
23	Joedrick Pupe	D
60	Robert-Jan Vanwesemael	D
14	Ryan Merlen	M
8	Abdoulaye Sissako	M
18	Nelson Ishiwatari	M
7	Arbnor Muja	M
10	Ilias Sebaoui	M
9	Samed Baždar	F

Substitutes

21	Matt Lendfers	G
35	Yanis Ngoy	G
3	Taiga Hata	D
22	Wolke Janssens	D
39	Rune Verheyden	D
31	Ben Achour Ilyes	M
33	Alouis Diriken	M
71	Ryotaro Araki	M
77	Oumar Diouf	F
99	Shion Shinkawa	F
38	Kaito Matsuzawa	F

Omonia Nicosia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Henning Berg

40 Fabiano

29 Balkovec

30 Panagiotou

5 Coulibaly

93 Duverne

74 Andreou

14 Marić

22 Tanković

7 Montnor

99 Diony

11 Costa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
40	Fabiano	G
93	Jean-Kévin Duverne	D
5	Senou Coulibaly	D
30	Nikolas Panagiotou	D
29	Jure Balkovec	D
22	Muamer Tanković	M
14	Mateo Marić	M
74	Panagiotis Andreou	M
11	Ewandro Costa	M
99	Loïs Diony	F
7	Jaden Montnor	M

Substitutes

23	Francis Uzoho	G
78	Pantelis Michail	G
27	Stefan Simic	D
37	Ľubomír Šatka	D
77	Loic Négo	D
90	Christos Konstantinidis	D
10	Tasos Chatzigiovanis	M
31	Ioannis Kousoulos	M
82	Andreas Christou	M
21	Mihlali Mayambela	M
9	Andronikos Kakoullis	F
85	Angelos Neophytou	F