Lech Poznan vs FC Thun Prognose

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KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Lech Poznan
57%
24%
19%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Lech Poznan vs. FC Thun Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lech Poznan eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 57%, für FC Thun 19% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Aug 2026, 18:53.

Match Report

Lech Poznan produced a dominant display to thrash FC Thun 7-0 in their UEFA Europa League play-off tie, with the contest effectively over long before the final whistle. Patrik Wålemark was the standout performer in the opening half, netting twice in the space of 15 minutes before being substituted before the interval, with Allahyar Sayyadmanesh, Mateusz Skrzypczak, and Radosław Murawski also on the scoresheet to give the hosts a commanding 5-0 lead at the break.

Thun made wholesale changes at half-time in an attempt to stem the tide, but Lech continued to press. Daniel Håkans added a sixth just two minutes into the second half, and Robert Gumny completed the rout with a seventh in the 79th minute. A goal from Furkan Dursun was disallowed for offside in the 66th minute, denying Thun any consolation on a difficult evening.

Despite Thun shading possession at 51%, Lech's clinical finishing told the full story, with nine shots on target compared to the visitors' four. The result was broadly anticipated — our pre-match AI model had flagged a Lech win as the most likely outcome at 57%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Patrik Wålemark
10' ⚽ 1–0
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh assist: Pablo Rodríguez
20' ⚽ 2–0
Patrik Wålemark assist: Michal Gurgul
25' ⚽ 3–0
Mateusz Skrzypczak assist: Antoni Kozubal
31' ⚽ 4–0
Patrik Wålemark ⇄ Daniel Håkans
37' ⇄
Radosław Murawski assist: Pablo Rodríguez
45' ⚽ 5–0
⇄ 45+1'
Marc Gutbub ⇄ Furkan Dursun
HT 5–0
⇄ 46'
Michael Heule ⇄ Tom Strannegård
⇄ 46'
Nassim Zoukit
Daniel Håkans assist: Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
47' ⚽ 6–0
▮ 50'
Nils Reichmuth Yellow Card
⇄ 56'
Nils Reichmuth ⇄ Nicolas Bürgy
Pablo Rodríguez ⇄ Robert Gumny
64' ⇄
Luis Palma ⇄ Gustav Berggren
64' ⇄
🖵 66'
Furkan Dursun Goal Disallowed - offside
▮ 70'
Tom Strannegård Yellow Card
Robert Gumny assist: Michal Gurgul
79' ⚽ 7–0
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
80' ⇄
Antoni Kozubal ⇄ Karol Delikat
80' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Brighton Labeau ⇄ Lucien Dähler
Radosław Murawski Yellow Card
87' ▮
FT 7–0
Lech Poznan

Match Stats

FC Thun
49% Ball Possession 51%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
9 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
3 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Lech Poznan
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Lech Poznan
WLLWW
FC Thun
WLLLD
Last 1 meetings Lech Poznan · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Lech Poznan vs FC Thun

0 Lech Poznan Wins
1 Draws
0 FC Thun Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Aug 2026 FC Thun 2 - 2 Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Radomiak Radom W 5 - 1
17 Sep A Crystal Palace L 4 - 0
12 Sep A Gornik Zabrze L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Raków Częstochowa W 1 - 0
03 Sep H Jagiellonia W 2 - 1

FC Thun — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Vaduz W 1 - 2
16 Sep H Servette FC L 2 - 4
12 Sep H Grasshoppers L 0 - 1
06 Sep A FC Sion L 3 - 2
02 Sep H Lausanne D 0 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Juventus
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 +4 3
3
Sparta Praha
1 1 0 0 +3 3
4
Beşiktaş
1 1 0 0 +3 3
5
Union St. Gilloise
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Benfica
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
OFI
1 1 0 0 +2 3
10
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Lyon
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Torreense
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
Omonia Nicosia
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
Sturm Graz
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Rennes
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Lillestrom
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Celta Vigo
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Celtic
1 0 0 1 -2 0
29
1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
Celje
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
Marseille
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 -3 0
34
Plzen
1 0 0 1 -3 0
35
Lech Poznan
1 0 0 1 -4 0
36
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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