St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia Prognose

UEFA Europa League · Play-offs

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Omonia Nicosia

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für St. Truiden

52%

27%

21%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

St. Truiden vs. Omonia Nicosia Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für St. Truiden eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 52%, für Omonia Nicosia 21% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Aug 2026, 19:58.

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Match Report

St. Truiden edged past Omonia Nicosia 1–0 in their UEFA Europa League play-off clash, with the decisive moment arriving deep into stoppage time. The first half was a tight, goalless affair, and the pattern of play remained evenly matched throughout, with both sides finishing level on ball possession and recording no shots on target across the 90 minutes.

The second half brought a flurry of substitutions and bookings that disrupted the rhythm of the game. Yellow cards for Robert-Jan Vanwesemael and Jean-Kévin Duverne arrived in quick succession early in the half, while Ewandro Costa was cautioned in the 86th minute before being withdrawn moments later. St. Truiden introduced Kaito Matsuzawa and Nelson Ishiwatari around the hour mark, and Omonia responded with Muamer Tanković on 77 minutes as both sides searched for a breakthrough.

The match's only goal came in the 90th minute when Shogo Taniguchi converted to settle the tie in St. Truiden's favour — a result the pre-match AI model had marginally favoured, giving the Belgian side a 52% chance of victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ Samed Baždar

47' ⇄

Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Yellow Card

50' ▮

▮ 52'

Jean-Kévin Duverne Yellow Card

Kaito Matsuzawa

61' ⇄

Nelson Ishiwatari ⇄ Ryotaro Araki

61' ⇄

⇄ 70'

⇄ Anastasios Chatzigiovanis

⇄ 77'

Muamer Tanković ⇄ Loic Négo

⇄ 77'

▮ 86'

Ewandro Costa Yellow Card

⇄ 90+1'

Ewandro Costa ⇄ Angelos Neophytou

Shogo Taniguchi assist: Ryan Merlen

90+4' ⚽ 1–0

FT 1–0

St. Truiden

Match Stats

Omonia Nicosia

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

0 Shots on Goal 0

1 Shots off Goal 1

0 Blocked Shots 0

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

0 Corner Kicks 0

1 Offsides 0

3 Fouls 2

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für St. Truiden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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St. Truiden

LLWLW

Omonia Nicosia

WWDWL

Last 1 meetings St. Truiden · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Omonia Nicosia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	13	13	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ St. Truiden goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

St. Truiden

No scorer data.

Omonia Nicosia

J. Balkovec 1 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	5.7%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
1	12.6%	13.2%	4.9%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.4%	9.5%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
3	6.2%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	St. Truiden	Draw	Omonia Nicosia
St. Truiden	30.9%	3.1%	0.8%
Draw	21.9%	18.3%	6.9%
Omonia Nicosia	2.9%	4.5%	10.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia

0 St. Truiden Wins

0 Draws

1 Omonia Nicosia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Omonia Nicosia	4 - 2	St. Truiden

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A SK Beveren	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H RAAL La Louvière	W	4 - 0
02 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	A Antwerp	W	1 - 4

Omonia Nicosia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Krasava Ypsonas	W	4 - 1
16 Sep	H Celta Vigo	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Apollon Limassol	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Aris	W	1 - 4
03 Sep	H Pafos	L	0 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

St. Truiden

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Pagou

16 Kokubo

23 Pupe

26 Musliu

5 Taniguchi

60 Vanwesemael

18 Ishiwatari

8 Sissako

14 Merlen

38 Matsuzawa

19 Soelle

10 Sebaoui

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Léo Kokubo	G
60	Robert-Jan Vanwesemael	D
5	Shogo Taniguchi	D
26	Visar Musliu	D
23	Joedrick Pupe	D
14	Ryan Merlen	M
8	Abdoulaye Sissako	M
18	Nelson Ishiwatari	M
10	Ilias Sebaoui	M
19	Frederic Soelle Soelle	F
38	Kaito Matsuzawa	F

Substitutes

21	Matt Lendfers	G
35	Yanis Ngoy	G
3	Taiga Hata	D
4	Loïc Mbe Soh	D
22	Wolke Janssens	D
7	Arbnor Muja	M
31	Ben Achour Ilyes	M
33	Alouis Diriken	M
71	Ryotaro Araki	M
9	Samed Baždar	F
77	Oumar Diouf	F
99	Shion Shinkawa	F

Omonia Nicosia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Henning Berg

40 Fabiano

29 Balkovec

30 Panagiotou

5 Coulibaly

93 Duverne

74 Andreou

22 Tanković

14 Marić

7 Montnor

99 Diony

11 Costa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
40	Fabiano	G
93	Jean-Kévin Duverne	D
5	Senou Coulibaly	D
30	Nikolas Panagiotou	D
29	Jure Balkovec	D
14	Mateo Marić	M
22	Muamer Tanković	M
74	Panagiotis Andreou	M
11	Ewandro Costa	M
99	Loïs Diony	F
7	Jaden Montnor	M

Substitutes

23	Francis Uzoho	G
78	Pantelis Michail	G
27	Stefan Simic	D
37	Ľubomír Šatka	D
77	Loic Négo	D
92	Christoforou Panagiotis	D
6	Carel Eiting	M
10	Tasos Chatzigiovanis	M
31	Ioannis Kousoulos	M
82	Andreas Christou	M
9	Andronikos Kakoullis	F
85	Angelos Neophytou	F