FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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HNK Rijeka

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für FC Midtjylland

61%

23%

16%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

FC Midtjylland vs. HNK Rijeka Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FC Midtjylland eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 61%, für HNK Rijeka 16% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Aug 2026, 18:53.

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Unter 3,5 Tore 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

FC Midtjylland secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over HNK Rijeka in their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round clash, booking their place in the next stage with a controlled and efficient performance. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Midtjylland win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved well-founded.

The hosts took control early when Gue-sung Cho broke the deadlock in the 20th minute, and Midtjylland carried that advantage into half-time. Rijeka's discipline began to fray before the break, with Ivan Ćubelić picking up a yellow card in the 36th minute, and the Croatian side's hopes of a second-half comeback were effectively ended just four minutes after the restart when Sofus Johannesen doubled the lead.

Rijeka struggled to find a way back into the contest and continued to be troubled by indiscipline, accumulating further bookings as the game wore on. Midtjylland managed the closing stages comfortably through a series of substitutions, with Darío Osorio among the late changes, and the Danish side ran out deserving winners on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Gue-sung Cho assist: Franculino Djú

20' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 36'

Ivan Ćubelić Yellow Card

HT 1–0

Valdemar Byskov ⇄ Sofus Johannesen

46' ⇄

Franculino Djú ⇄ Stanley Iheanacho

46' ⇄

Sofus Johannesen assist: Stanley Iheanacho

49' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 50'

Toni Fruk Yellow Card

Denil Castillo ⇄ Kjell Wätjen

59' ⇄

Sofus Johannesen Yellow Card

60' ▮

⇄ 67'

Tiago Dantas ⇄ Jakov Puljić

Gue-sung Cho ⇄ Friday Etim

74' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Niko Janković ⇄ Yusuf Kabadayi

⇄ 74'

Ivan Ćubelić ⇄ Amer Gojak

⇄ 87'

Toni Fruk ⇄ Justas Lasickas

⇄ 87'

Daniel Adu-Adjei ⇄ Ante Matej Jurić

▮ 89'

Alfonso Barco Yellow Card

Darío Osorio ⇄ Adam Gabriel

89' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für FC Midtjylland

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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FC Midtjylland

DWWDW

HNK Rijeka

WWDWD

Last 1 meetings FC Midtjylland · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

16%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HNK Rijeka goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	12	12	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	8	6	2	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Midtjylland goals · most likely 2–0 (12.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

23%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

23%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	4.0%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
1	12.1%	11.5%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.8%	9.7%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
3	8.2%	6.2%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
4	3.9%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Midtjylland	Draw	HNK Rijeka
FC Midtjylland	45.4%	3.9%	0.9%
Draw	17.2%	15.4%	5.6%
HNK Rijeka	1.7%	2.9%	7.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka

1 FC Midtjylland Wins

0 Draws

0 HNK Rijeka Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	HNK Rijeka	1 - 4	FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Odense	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Brondby	W	4 - 1
10 Sep	A Sundby	W	0 - 7
07 Sep	H FC Nordsjaelland	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	A Aarhus	W	0 - 2

HNK Rijeka — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H HNK Hajduk Split	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Vrbovec	W	0 - 6
12 Sep	A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H NK Osijek	W	4 - 1
31 Aug	A HNK Gorica	D	0 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.