Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Hapoel Tel Aviv

Away

KI-Tipp Atalanta gewinnt oder unentschieden

74%

17%

10%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Atalanta vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Atalanta eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 74%, für Hapoel Tel Aviv 10% und für ein Unentschieden 17%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Aug 2026, 20:24.

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Unter 3,5 Tore 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Atalanta dominated possession throughout this UEFA Europa Conference League playoff clash, controlling 67% of the ball against a disciplined Hapoel Tel Aviv side, but the Italian outfit struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances, managing just four total shots across the ninety minutes.

The match was disrupted by an early injury that forced Giorgio Scalvini off in the 26th minute, while bookings for Andrian Kraev, Giacomo Raspadori, and Omri Altman added a fractious edge to proceedings. Hapoel's Altman was subsequently withdrawn at the hour mark, with Atalanta also introducing Gianluca Scamacca in search of a breakthrough. Despite further changes including Lazar Samardžić and Nicola Zalewski, neither side could find the net, with shots on goal limited to three for Atalanta and two for the visitors.

The goalless draw was a surprise result — our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as most likely at 74%, a call that did not materialise. Hapoel Tel Aviv will be satisfied with a hard-earned point ahead of the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Giorgio Scalvini ⇄ Thomas Kristensen

26' ⇄

▮ 32'

Andrian Kraev Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Giacomo Raspadori Yellow Card

48' ▮

▮ 54'

Omri Altman Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

Omri Altman ⇄ Xande Silva

⇄ 63'

Douglas Owusu ⇄ Mor Buskila

Gianluca Scamacca ⇄ Nikola Krstović

63' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Emmanuel Boateng ⇄ Daniel Dappa

Lazar Samardžić ⇄ Mario Pašalić

78' ⇄

Nicola Zalewski ⇄ Federico Cassa

78' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Marcus Coco ⇄ Shahar Piven

⇄ 89'

⇄ Amit Lemkin

FT 0–0

Atalanta

Match Stats

Hapoel Tel Aviv

67% Ball Possession 33%

Expected Goals (xG)

4 Total Shots 3

3 Shots on Goal 2

1 Shots off Goal 1

0 Blocked Shots 0

3 Shots insidebox 1

1 Shots outsidebox 2

1 Corner Kicks 1

Offsides

6 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

417 Total passes 203

381 Passes accurate 168

91% Passes % 83%

goals_prevented

Atalanta

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Odilon Kossounou D	7.3	52'	–	–	–	81 (80%)	1
42 Giorgio Scalvini D	6.9	26'	–	–	–	42 (42%)	2
10 Lazar Samardžić M	6.9	52'	–	–	–	42 (33%)	1
70 Gianluca Gaetano M	6.9	52'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–
31 Thomas Kristensen D	6.9	26'	–	–	1	37 (35%)	–
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D	6.7	52'	–	–	–	41 (38%)	3
9 Gianluca Scamacca F	6.7	52'	–	–	1	14 (13%)	–
29 Marco Carnesecchi G	6.6	52'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
59 Nicola Zalewski F	6.6	52'	–	–	1	28 (23%)	–
13 Éderson M	6.5	52'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	–
18 Giacomo Raspadori F	6.5	52'	–	–	1	11 (10%)	1
16 Raoul Bellanova D	6.3	52'	–	–	–	36 (34%)	–

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Assaf Tzur G	7.5	52'	–	–	–	12 (7%)	–
5 Fernand Mayembo D	7.0	52'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	1
97 Marcus Coco D	6.9	52'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	2
4 Chico D	6.9	52'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
35 Douglas Owusu M	6.6	52'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
51 Omri Altman M	6.6	52'	–	–	1	18 (14%)	1
16 Doron Leidner D	6.3	52'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	–
98 Falcão M	6.3	52'	–	–	–	13 (13%)	–
6 Andrian Kraev M	6.3	52'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	1
15 Roee Alkokin M	6.3	52'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
9 Emmanuel Boateng F	6.2	52'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–

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Confidence High (74%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Atalanta gewinnt oder unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Atalanta

LLLWW

Hapoel Tel Aviv

WLWWD

Last 1 meetings Atalanta · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Atalanta goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

17%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

17%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	6.1%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.2%	13.6%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.3%	9.5%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.9%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atalanta	Draw	Hapoel Tel Aviv
Atalanta	30.1%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	17.4%	17.9%	8.9%
Hapoel Tel Aviv	2.4%	4.4%	13.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

1 Atalanta Wins

0 Draws

0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv	0 - 1	Atalanta

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Hapoel Petah Tikva	W	3 - 0
14 Sep	A Maccabi Tel Aviv	L	4 - 1
07 Sep	H Hapoel Ramat Gan	W	4 - 0
03 Sep	H Beitar Jerusalem	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Hapoel Haifa	D	0 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Atalanta

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri

29 Carnesecchi

47 Bernasconi

42 Scalvini

3 Kossounou

16 Bellanova

13 Éderson

70 Gaetano

10 Samardžić

18 Raspadori

9 Scamacca

59 Zalewski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Marco Carnesecchi	G
16	Raoul Bellanova	D
3	Odilon Kossounou	D
42	Giorgio Scalvini	D
47	Lorenzo Bernasconi	D
10	Lazar Samardžić	M
70	Gianluca Gaetano	M
13	Éderson	M
59	Nicola Zalewski	F
9	Gianluca Scamacca	F
18	Giacomo Raspadori	F

Substitutes

95	Paolo Vismara	G
57	Marco Sportiello	G
40	Relja Obrić	D
31	Thomas Kristensen	D
23	Sead Kolašinac	D
6	Ibrahim Sulemana	M
52	Alberto Manzoni	M
49	Federico Cassa	M
8	Mario Pašalić	M
77	Davide Zappacosta	D
15	Marten de Roon	M
90	Nikola Krstović	F

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Elyaniv Barda

22 Tzur

16 Leidner

4 Chico

5 Mayembo

97 Coco

6 Kraev

98 Falcão

15 Alkokin

51 Altman

35 Owusu

9 Boateng

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Assaf Tzur	G
97	Marcus Coco	D
5	Fernand Mayembo	D
4	Chico	D
16	Doron Leidner	D
98	Falcão	M
6	Andrian Kraev	M
35	Douglas Owusu	M
51	Omri Altman	M
15	Roee Alkokin	M
9	Emmanuel Boateng	F

Substitutes

13	Roy Baranes	G
1	Dor Benyamini	G
21	Shahar Piven	D
20	Or Israelov	D
18	Tal Archel	D
14	El Yam Kancepolsky	M
23	Amit Lemkin	M
8	Yonatan Ferber	M
44	Daniel Dappa	F
10	Xande Silva	F
27	Mor Buskila	F