GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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GKS Katowice

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Hinspiel 0-2 · Gesamt 2-3

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Away

KI-Tipp GKS Katowice oder Unentschieden

44%

29%

27%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

GKS Katowice vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für GKS Katowice eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Hapoel Tel Aviv 27% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 12 Aug 2026, 17:57.

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Match Report

GKS Katowice produced a remarkable second-half comeback to defeat Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round. The Israeli side dominated the opening half, taking a deserved lead through a 23rd-minute goal and carrying that advantage into the break, with their territorial control reflected in a commanding 67% share of possession and seven shots on goal across the match compared to just three for the hosts.

GKS grew into the contest after the interval, with a series of substitutions helping shift the momentum. Ilia Shkurin drew the Polish side level in the 83rd minute, and deep into stoppage time Arkadiusz Jędrych converted a penalty to seal a dramatic 2–1 win and send Katowice through to the next round.

The result was against the run of play on paper, with Hapoel also earning seven corners to GKS's three, yet the home side showed resilience when it mattered most. Our pre-match AI model had rated a GKS Katowice win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that ultimately proved correct despite the visitors' statistical superiority.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 23'

HT 0–1

▮ 50'

Yellow Card

Mateusz Kowalczyk ⇄ Kacper Łukasiak

63' ⇄

▮ 70'

Yellow Card

Marcel Wedrychowski ⇄ Szymon Bartlewicz

71' ⇄

Marcin Wasielewski ⇄ Erik Jirka

71' ⇄

⇄ 73'

⇄ 78'

⇄ 79'

Alan Czerwiński Yellow Card

81' ▮

Borja Galán ⇄ Mateusz Wdowiak

81' ⇄

Bartosz Nowak ⇄ Eman Marković

81' ⇄

Ilia Shkurin assist: Mateusz Wdowiak

83' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 88'

Arkadiusz Jędrych Penalty

90' ⚽ 2–1

FT 2–1

GKS Katowice

Match Stats

Hapoel Tel Aviv

67% Ball Possession 33%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

7 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 6

4 Blocked Shots 2

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

7 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 2

18 Fouls 18

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

GKS Katowice oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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GKS Katowice

WLLWW

Hapoel Tel Aviv

WLWWD

Last 1 meetings GKS Katowice · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

27%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ GKS Katowice goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	7.6%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.4%	14.4%	7.3%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.6%	8.8%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.5%	4.0%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	GKS Katowice	Draw	Hapoel Tel Aviv
GKS Katowice	21.2%	3.8%	1.5%
Draw	17.6%	19.2%	11.7%
Hapoel Tel Aviv	2.7%	5.0%	17.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

0 GKS Katowice Wins

0 Draws

1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv	2 - 0	GKS Katowice

GKS Katowice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cracovia Krakow	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Zaglebie Lubin	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Piast Gliwice	L	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Gornik Zabrze	W	2 - 3
23 Aug	H Wisla Plock	W	5 - 0

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Hapoel Petah Tikva	W	3 - 0
14 Sep	A Maccabi Tel Aviv	L	4 - 1
07 Sep	H Hapoel Ramat Gan	W	4 - 0
03 Sep	H Beitar Jerusalem	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Hapoel Haifa	D	0 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Elyaniv Barda

22 Tzur

16 Leidner

4 Chico

5 Mayembo

97 Coco

6 Kraev

98 Falcão

15 Alkokin

9 Boateng

11 Torial

51 Altman

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Assaf Tzur	G
97	Marcus Coco	D
5	Fernand Mayembo	D
4	Chico	D
16	Doron Leidner	D
98	Falcão	M
6	Andrian Kraev	M
11	Stav Torial	M
9	Emmanuel Boateng	F
15	Roee Alkokin	M
51	Omri Altman	F

Substitutes

1	Dor Benyamini	G
18	Tal Archel	D
20	Or Israelov	D
21	Shahar Piven	D
8	Yonatan Ferber	M
14	El Yam Kancepolsky	M
23	Amit Lemkin	M
35	Douglas Owusu	M
7	Roy Korine	F
10	Xande Silva	F
27	Mor Buskila	F
44	Daniel Dappa	F

GKS Katowice

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Rafal Gorak

87 Kobylak

6 Klemenz

4 Jędrych

30 Czerwiński

8 Galán

68 Wolski

77 Kowalczyk

23 Wasielewski

27 Nowak

17 Shkurin

10 Wędrychowski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
87	Gabriel Kobylak	G
30	Alan Czerwiński	D
4	Arkadiusz Jędrych	D
6	Lukas Klemenz	D
23	Marcin Wasielewski	M
77	Mateusz Kowalczyk	M
68	Bartosz Wolski	M
8	Borja Galán	M
10	Marcel Wędrychowski	M
17	Ilia Shkurin	F
27	Bartosz Nowak	F

Substitutes

19	Kacper Łukasiak	M
1	Maciej Kikolski	G
14	Marius Olsen	D
55	Pau Resta	D
7	Mateusz Wdowiak	M
22	Sebastian Milewski	M
31	Szymon Bartlewicz	M
97	Erik Jirka	M
15	Eman Marković	F
21	Jakub Kokosinski	F