Apollon Limassol vs Brann Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Apollon Limassol

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2 : 4

HT 0 - 1

Hinspiel 1-0 · Gesamt 3-4

Brann

Away

KI-Tipp Apollon Limassol oder Unentschieden

44%

28%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Apollon Limassol vs. Brann Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Apollon Limassol eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Brann 28% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 11 Aug 2026, 19:44.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%

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Match Report

Brann claimed a commanding 4–2 victory away at Apollon Limassol in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, despite the Cypriot hosts dominating possession throughout the contest. Kristall Máni Ingason broke the deadlock in the 16th minute to give Brann a lead they carried into half-time, and while Apollon pressed hard with 75% of the ball, the Norwegian side's nine corners to the hosts' one reflected where the real danger was coming from.

The second half proved dramatic. Noah Jean Holm struck twice in quick succession around the 90th minute to put Brann in control, with Kristian Eriksen adding a fifth goal in extra time. Apollon did find the net twice, but Brann's clinical edge proved decisive. Ingason's evening ended in disappointment, however, as two yellow cards in the 118th minute resulted in a red, leaving him to watch the closing stages from the stands.

Our pre-match AI model rated an Apollon win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Brann ran out convincing winners.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 16'

Kristall Máni Ingason assist: Eggert Aron Guðmundsson

▮ 30'

Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Yellow Card

▮ 32'

Niklas Castro Yellow Card

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–1

▮ 58'

Kristall Máni Ingason Yellow Card

Yellow Card

73' ▮

74' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Eggert Aron Guðmundsson ⇄ Noah Jean Holm

⇄ 81'

Joachim Soltvedt ⇄ Vetle Dragsnes

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

86' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 88'

Niklas Jensen Wassberg ⇄ Bård Finne

⇄ 88'

Niklas Castro ⇄ Sævar Atli Magnússon

90' ⇄

90+2' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 90+6'

Noah Jean Holm assist: Vetle Dragsnes

92' ⚽ 2–2

⚽ 2–3 94'

Noah Jean Holm assist: Kristian Eriksen

Yellow Card

100' ▮

⚽ 2–4 105'

Kristian Eriksen assist: Vetle Dragsnes

⇄ 106'

Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen ⇄ Cheick Mbacke Diop

106' ⇄

▮ 118'

Kristall Máni Ingason Yellow Card

▮ 118'

Kristall Máni Ingason Red Card

FT 2–4

Apollon Limassol

Match Stats

Brann

25% Ball Possession 75%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

9 Shots on Goal 6

8 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

9 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 0

13 Fouls 12

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Apollon Limassol oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Apollon Limassol

DDWDL

Brann

WWLLD

Last 1 meetings Apollon Limassol · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brann goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	3	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Apollon Limassol goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

28%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

28%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	5.0%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
1	9.2%	12.8%	6.0%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.3%	9.9%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.4%	5.8%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Apollon Limassol	Draw	Brann
Apollon Limassol	35.2%	4.5%	1.5%
Draw	15.8%	16.2%	8.4%
Brann	2.2%	3.9%	12.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Apollon Limassol vs Brann

1 Apollon Limassol Wins

0 Draws

0 Brann Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Aug 2026	Brann	0 - 1	Apollon Limassol

Apollon Limassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Apoel Nicosia	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Anorthosis	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	A Aris	D	2 - 2
11 Aug	H Brann	L	2 - 4

Brann — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	A Os	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Start	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Lillestrom	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Sandefjord	D	0 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Brann

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: E. Horneland

1 Dyngeland

17 Soltvedt

23 Pedersen

3 Knudsen

21 Roeve

25 Wassberg

18 Sørensen

19 Guðmundsson

9 Castro

16 Eriksen

10 Ingason

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Mathias Dyngeland	G
21	Denzel De Roeve	D
3	Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen	D
23	Thore Pedersen	D
17	Joachim Soltvedt	D
19	Eggert Aron Guðmundsson	M
18	Jacob Lungi Sørensen	M
25	Niklas Jensen Wassberg	M
10	Kristall Máni Ingason	M
16	Kristian Eriksen	M
9	Niklas Castro	F

Substitutes

12	Simen Vidtun Nilsen	G
36	Håkon Melås Hellesøy	G
6	Cheick Mbacke Diop	D
20	Vetle Dragsnes	D
32	Markus Haaland	M
11	Bård Finne	F
22	Sævar Atli Magnússon	F
29	Noah Jean Holm	F