Oviedo vs Sevilla Prognose
Oviedo vs. Sevilla Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Oviedo eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 26%, für Sevilla 45% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Oviedo claimed a surprise 1–0 victory over Sevilla in La Liga Matchday 30, with Federico Viñas the central figure in a dramatic and ill-tempered contest. The Uruguayan forward scored the only goal of the match in the 32nd minute, having already picked up a yellow card earlier in the half. A red card before the interval further shaped the match, leaving one side to battle with ten men for the majority of the game.
Despite Sevilla dominating possession at 70% and registering four shots on target to Oviedo's none, the visitors were unable to find a way through. The expected goals figures — 0.66 for Oviedo and just 0.48 for Sevilla — reflect how effectively the hosts defended their lead, with Oviedo's nine corner kicks also underlining their resilience and willingness to press forward on the counter.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sevilla win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that did not materialise. Discipline was a persistent issue throughout, with yellow cards distributed heavily across both halves and the match ending in a tense, fractious atmosphere.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Oviedo
Match Stats
Oviedo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nicolas Fonseca M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 85 (72%) | 1 |
| 13 Aarón Escandell G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (23%) | – |
| 2 Eric Bailly D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | 2 |
| 9 Federico Viñas F | 7.2 | 59' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (8%) | – |
| 12 Dani Calvo D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 62 (57%) | 1 |
| 22 Nacho Vidal D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (34%) | – |
| 15 Thiago Fernández M | 7.0 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 31 (29%) | 2 |
| 25 Javi López D | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | – | 51 (49%) | 1 |
| 5 Alberto Reina M | 6.7 | 72' | – | 1 | – | 30 (22%) | – |
| 11 Santiago Colombatto M | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 10 Haissem Hassan F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 6 Kwasi Sibo M | 6.6 | 59' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | – |
| 8 Santi Cazorla M | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 3 Abdel Rahim D | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 7 Ilyas Chaira M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 17 Thiago Borbas F | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
Sevilla
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Juanlu Sánchez M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | 2 |
| 12 Gabriel Suazo D | 7.0 | 17' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 11 Rubén Vargas M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 19 (11%) | – |
| 1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (17%) | – |
| 2 José Ángel Carmona D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (5%) | 3 |
| 19 Batista Mendy M | 6.7 | 72' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 32 Andres Castrin D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 21 Chidera Ejuke F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 4 Kike Salas D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (14%) | 2 |
| 6 Nemanja Gudelj M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 28 Manu Bueno M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 20 Djibril Sow M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 36 Oso D | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 12 (5%) | 1 |
| 7 Isaac Romero F | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 9 Akor Adams F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 15 (9%) | – |
| 5 Tanguy Nianzou D | 5.3 | 38' | – | – | 2 | 6 (6%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Oviedo vs Sevilla
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sevilla | 4 - 0 | Oviedo |
Oviedo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Sabadell | L | 3 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Valladolid | W | 0 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | H Burgos | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Albacete | W | 0 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Leganes | L | 0 - 1 |
Sevilla — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Barcelona | L | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Deportivo La Coruna | W | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | H Valencia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Espanyol | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 3 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Sevilla
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Vlachodimos | G |
| 2 | J. A. Carmona | D |
| 5 | T. Nianzou | D |
| 4 | K. Salas | D |
| 36 | Oso | D |
| 19 | B. Mendy | M |
| 6 | N. Gudelj | M |
| 16 | J. Sanchez | M |
| 20 | D. Sow | M |
| 11 | R. Vargas | M |
| 9 | A. Adams | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | O. Nyland | G |
| 10 | A. Sanchez | F |
| 12 | G. Suazo | D |
| 21 | C. Ejuke | F |
| 28 | M. Bueno | M |
| 15 | F. Cardoso | D |
| 24 | A. Januzaj | M |
| 8 | Joan Jordan | M |
| 22 | F. Gattoni | D |
| 14 | Peque | F |
| 7 | I. Romero | F |
| 32 | Castrin | D |
Oviedo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Escandell | G |
| 22 | N. Vidal | D |
| 2 | E. Bailly | D |
| 12 | D. Calvo | D |
| 25 | J. Lopez | D |
| 6 | K. Sibo | M |
| 23 | N. Fonseca | M |
| 7 | I. Chaira | M |
| 5 | A. Reina | M |
| 15 | T. Fernandez | M |
| 9 | F. Vinas | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | H. Moldovan | G |
| 26 | M. Narvaez | G |
| 8 | S. Cazorla | M |
| 4 | D. Costas | D |
| 11 | S. Colombatto | M |
| 10 | H. Hassan | F |
| 17 | T. Borbas | F |
| 3 | R. Alhassane | D |
| 27 | P. Agudin | M |