Derry City vs Dundalk Prognose

Premier Division Premier Division · Regular Season - 35
FT
Post on X
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry (Londonderry)
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Derry City
53%
25%
22%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Derry City vs. Dundalk Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Derry City eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 53%, für Dundalk 22% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Oct 2026, 20:37.

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Timeline

James Clarke
12' ⚽ 1–0
Darragh Burns Yellow Card
43' ▮
HT 1–0
▮ 53'
Keith Buckley Yellow Card
⇄ 56'
Declan McDaid ⇄ Harry Groome
⇄ 56'
Egor Vassenin ⇄ Robert Cornwall
▮ 59'
T. Clarke Yellow Card
Adam O'Reilly ⇄ Darragh Markey
67' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Tyreke Wilson ⇄ H. Warren
⇄ 69'
T. Clarke ⇄ Cian Dillon
⇄ 69'
Keith Buckley ⇄ Shane Tracey
Michael Duffy assist: Darragh Burns
71' ⚽ 2–0
Michael Duffy ⇄ G. Whyte
74' ⇄
Darragh Burns ⇄ Kévin Santos
74' ⇄
⚽ 2–1 79'
Shane Tracey
James Clarke ⇄ Terence Doherty
87' ⇄
Cameron Dummigan ⇄ Conor Barr
87' ⇄
Ellis Chapman Yellow Card
89' ▮
FT 2–1
Derry City

Match Stats

Dundalk
53% Ball Possession 47%
1.75 Expected Goals (xG) 0.82
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Corner Kicks 5
5 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
500 Total passes 421
403 Passes accurate 318
12 Free Kicks 11
Derry City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Michael Duffy F 8.2 74' 1 – 4 31 (23%) –
15 James Clarke F 8.2 87' 1 – 2 25 (20%) 2
23 Cameron Dummigan D 7.3 87' – – – 53 (43%) 7
3 Patrick McClean D 7.2 90' – – – 56 (46%) 3
1 B. Maher G 7.1 90' – – – 50 (43%) –
12 Darragh Burns M 7.1 74' – 1 2 23 (20%) 1
8 Adam O'Reilly M 6.7 67' – – 2 31 (24%) 2
4 Jamie Stott D 6.7 90' – – – 70 (55%) 1
22 Conor Barr D 6.6 3' – – – 2 (2%) –
32 Terence Doherty F 6.6 3' – – 1 – 1
14 Ellis Chapman M 6.5 90' – – 3 55 (40%) 4
10 Darragh Markey M 6.4 23' – – 1 13 (12%) –
11 G. Whyte M 6.4 16' – – – 7 (5%) –
17 Nick Twisk F 6.3 90' – – – 32 (29%) 1
21 Kévin Santos M 6.1 16' – – 1 5 (5%) –
19 Brandon Fleming M 6.0 90' – – – 45 (35%) 2
Dundalk
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Shane Tracey M 7.0 21' 1 – 1 24 (20%) 2
1 Enda Minogue G 6.8 90' – – – 39 (27%) –
3 Bobby Burns D 6.7 90' – – 1 38 (28%) 6
6 Aodh Dervin M 6.6 90' – – 1 44 (41%) 1
22 Tyreke Wilson D 6.5 69' – – 1 23 (20%) –
9 Cian Dillon F 6.3 21' – – 1 1 –
24 Robert Cornwall D 6.2 34' – – – 36 (34%) –
8 Harry Groome M 6.2 34' – – – 15 (15%) –
7 Daryl Horgan M 6.1 90' – – 2 31 (23%) 1
11 R. Teahan F 6.1 90' – – 3 7 (5%) –
27 Declan McDaid M 5.9 56' – – – 15 (5%) 1
15 T. Clarke M 5.9 69' – – 1 12 (7%) 1
5 H. Warren D 5.9 21' – – – 21 (16%) 1
44 Tom Grivosti D 5.7 90' – – 1 51 (32%) 2
18 Keith Buckley M 5.6 69' – – – 34 (28%) 1
16 Egor Vassenin D 5.4 56' – – – 29 (17%) 1
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Derry City
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Derry City
DWWLW
Dundalk
WLDLL
Last 1 meetings Derry City · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
22%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Derry City
M. Duffy 11 gls
J. Clarke 7 gls
Dundalk
D. Horgan 12 gls
G. Arubi 7 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Derry City vs Dundalk

1 Derry City Wins
0 Draws
0 Dundalk Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Sep 2026 Derry City 4 - 2 Dundalk

Derry City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
30 Oct A Sligo Rovers D 2 - 2
23 Oct H Dundalk W 2 - 1
19 Oct H St Patrick's Athl. W 1 - 0
16 Oct A Drogheda United L 2 - 0
10 Oct A Galway United W 0 - 2

Dundalk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
30 Oct H Shamrock Rovers W 3 - 1
23 Oct A Derry City L 2 - 1
17 Oct A Sligo Rovers D 1 - 1
02 Oct H Bohemians L 1 - 2
18 Sep H Shelbourne L 2 - 3

Premier Division Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
36 20 8 8 +21 68
2
Bohemians
36 19 8 9 +19 65
3
St Patrick's Athl.
36 17 9 10 +24 60
4
Shelbourne
36 12 13 11 +2 49
5
Derry City
36 11 15 10 +3 48
6
Dundalk
36 11 12 13 -4 45
7
Waterford
36 10 13 13 -7 43
8
Galway United
36 10 12 14 -7 42
9
Drogheda United
36 10 10 16 -13 40
10
Sligo Rovers
36 5 10 21 -38 25

Dundalk

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: C. Kilduff
1 Minogue
22 Wilson
16 Vassenin
44 Grivosti
3 Burns
6 Dervin
18 Buckley
15 Clarke
7 Horgan
27 McDaid
11 Teahan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Minogue G
3 B. Burns D
44 T. Grivosti D
16 E. Vassenin D
22 T. Wilson D
18 K. Buckley M
6 A. Dervin M
27 D. McDaid M
7 D. Horgan M
15 T. Clarke M
11 R. Teahan F

Substitutes

14 Norman Garbett M
10 Leonardo Gaxha F
8 H. Groome M
12 L. Mulligan D
17 S. Tracey M
5 H. Warren D
9 C. Dillon F
24 R. Cornwall D
13 P. Cherrie G

Derry City

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Salvatore Bocchetti
1 Maher
3 McClean
4 Stott
23 Dummigan
19 Fleming
14 Chapman
8 O'Reilly
12 Burns
7 Duffy
17 Twisk
15 Clarke

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Maher G
23 C. Dummigan D
4 J. Stott D
3 Patrick McClean D
12 D. Burns M
8 A. O'Reilly M
14 E. Chapman M
19 B. Fleming M
15 J. Clarke F
17 N. Twisk F
7 M. Duffy F

Substitutes

22 C. Barr D
32 T. Doherty F
24 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D
10 D. Markey M
13 Tom Norcott G
29 T. Smith F
11 G. Whyte M
21 Kévin Santos M
25 Christy Grogan D

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