Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prognose

I Liga · Regular Season - 28

17 Apr 2027, 15:00

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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Away

KI-Tipp Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki oder Unentschieden

23%

30%

47%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Polonia Warszawa vs. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Polonia Warszawa eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 23%, für Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 47% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Polonia Warszawa

WDLWL

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

WLWLD

Last 1 meetings Polonia Warszawa · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming I Liga match, Polonia Warszawa will face Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki. Polonia has shown a strong offensive capability this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Pogoń has struggled defensively, conceding around 1.5 goals per match. Both teams have been inconsistent, but Polonia's superior goal differential of +5 compared to Pogoń's -7 could play a crucial role. Expect Polonia to leverage their attacking prowess against Pogoń's defensive vulnerabilities. This matchup will be essential for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	12	10	5	2
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Polonia Warszawa goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

30%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

30%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

68% Away (No Draw) 32% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	12.1%	9.8%	4.7%	1.7%
1	7.2%	14.2%	9.0%	4.3%	1.5%
2	4.1%	5.8%	4.1%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.2%	1.8%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Polonia Warszawa	Draw	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Polonia Warszawa	13.8%	4.3%	2.0%
Draw	8.6%	19.8%	16.9%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.0%	3.9%	29.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

0 Polonia Warszawa Wins

0 Draws

1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	3 - 2	Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Chrobry Głogów	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	H Polonia Bytom	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Stal Rzeszów	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	A Górnik Polkowice	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Lechia Gdansk	L	2 - 4

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Unia Skierniewice	L	3 - 2
04 Sep	H Warta Poznań	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	A Podhale Nowy Targ	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Nieciecza	D	2 - 2

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.