Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź Prognose

I Liga · Regular Season - 9

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ŁKS Łódź

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KI-Tipp ŁKS Łódź oder Unentschieden

30%

28%

41%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs. ŁKS Łódź Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 30%, für ŁKS Łódź 41% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 15:33.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Heimteam trifft 72%

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Timeline

45+1' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ Szymon Karasinski

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

53' ▮

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

✗ 57'

Missed Penalty

Yellow Card

61' ▮

▮ 62'

Yellow Card

69' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 71'

77' ⇄

83' ⇄

▮ 90+2'

Yellow Card

90+5' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

ŁKS Łódź oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

WLWLD

ŁKS Łódź

LWDLD

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki leads 2-0. Win probability: 97.7%. Comeback chance: 2.3%.

70' Goal 85% sure

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki now leads 2-0 with 96.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 45.8%.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win: 66.9%. BTTS: 53.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki leads. Win probability: 66.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ŁKS Łódź goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	8	7	4	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	7.7%	7.1%	3.6%	1.4%
1	6.2%	13.4%	9.1%	4.6%	1.8%
2	5.0%	7.6%	5.8%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.1%	3.2%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Draw	ŁKS Łódź
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	18.2%	4.6%	2.3%
Draw	11.2%	17.0%	14.4%
ŁKS Łódź	1.9%	4.6%	25.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Unia Skierniewice	L	3 - 2
04 Sep	H Warta Poznań	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	A Podhale Nowy Targ	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Nieciecza	D	2 - 2

ŁKS Łódź — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	L	2 - 0
11 Sep	A Puszcza Niepołomice	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Arka Gdynia	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Tychy 71	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	A Odra Opole	D	0 - 0

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.