FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge Prognose

Challenge League · Regular Season - 11

24 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Étoile Carouge

Away

KI-Tipp Étoile Carouge gewinnt oder unentschieden

18%

74%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

FC Aarau vs. Étoile Carouge Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FC Aarau eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 7%, für Étoile Carouge 74% und für ein Unentschieden 18%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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FC Aarau

LDWDW

Étoile Carouge

LLDLW

Last 2 meetings FC Aarau · 1W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Étoile Carouge goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	11	14	11	7	3
1	2	9	9	7	4	2
2	1	2	3	2	1	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ FC Aarau goals · most likely 0–2 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

84%

4.5

16%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

91% Away (No Draw) 9% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

84%

4.5

16%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	11.0%	14.3%	11.4%	6.8%
1	2.2%	8.7%	9.2%	7.3%	4.4%
2	1.0%	2.5%	2.9%	2.3%	1.4%
3	0.2%	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

27%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Aarau	Draw	Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau	4.0%	2.5%	2.4%
Draw	3.1%	11.2%	21.7%
Étoile Carouge	0.5%	2.5%	52.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

81%

3.5

19%

Away Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

22%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge

1 FC Aarau Wins

0 Draws

1 Étoile Carouge Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jul 2026	Étoile Carouge	3 - 0	FC Aarau
06 Mar 2026	Étoile Carouge	0 - 3	FC Aarau

FC Aarau — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Kriens	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Rapperswil	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A FC WIL 1900	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	2 - 1

Étoile Carouge — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SC Kriens	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	H FC Winterthur	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	H FC WIL 1900	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	L	3 - 0
28 Aug	H Rapperswil	W	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.