FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prognose

Challenge League · Regular Season - 7

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Neuchatel Xamax FC

Away

KI-Tipp FC Winterthur oder Unentschieden

45%

25%

29%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

FC Winterthur vs. Neuchatel Xamax FC Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FC Winterthur eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 45%, für Neuchatel Xamax FC 29% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 4 Sep 2026, 20:05.

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1st Half Home or Draw 73%

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Timeline

▮ 13'

Yellow Card

assist: Theo Golliard

20' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 23'

Yellow Card

Theo Golliard Penalty

30' ⚽ 2–0

Luca Zuffi Penalty

36' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 62'

Luca Zuffi ⇄ Alexandre Jankewitz

64' ⇄

Fabian Rohner ⇄ Severin Ottiger

64' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Elias Maluvunu assist: Alexandre Jankewitz

75' ⚽ 4–0

76' ⇄

Elias Maluvunu

76' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Theo Golliard

87' ⇄

Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 4–0

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

FC Winterthur oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.1%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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FC Winterthur

WWWDD

Neuchatel Xamax FC

LWLLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

29%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Neuchatel Xamax FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	4	2	1
1	5	11	7	4	1
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	4	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ FC Winterthur goals · most likely 1–1 (11.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

29%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

29%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	4.0%	3.9%	1.9%	0.7%
1	5.4%	11.1%	7.3%	3.6%	1.3%
2	6.2%	9.2%	6.8%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.9%	5.8%	4.3%	2.1%	0.8%
4	1.8%	2.7%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Winterthur	Draw	Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Winterthur	28.9%	4.3%	1.8%
Draw	14.7%	14.0%	9.2%
Neuchatel Xamax FC	3.1%	5.1%	18.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Winterthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H FC Aarau	W	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Étoile Carouge	W	0 - 1
04 Sep	H Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	4 - 0
01 Sep	A Stade Nyonnais	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	D	1 - 1

Neuchatel Xamax FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Rapperswil	L	0 - 3
11 Sep	A Stade Nyonnais	W	1 - 3
04 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	4 - 0
01 Sep	H Yverdon Sport	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A FC Aarau	L	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.