FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Prognose

Challenge League · Regular Season - 5

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Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Away

KI-Tipp FC Winterthur oder Unentschieden

40%

27%

33%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

FC Winterthur vs. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FC Winterthur eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 40%, für Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 33% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 28 Aug 2026, 19:25.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Unter 3,5 Tore 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

Penalty

⇄ 30'

HT 0–1

Luca Zuffi ⇄ Alexandre Jankewitz

46' ⇄

⇄ 57'

Yellow Card

58' ▮

⇄ Fabian Rohner

67' ⇄

Roman Buess ⇄ Theo Golliard

67' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Severin Ottiger ⇄ Elias Maluvunu

78' ⇄

Yellow Card

79' ▮

Stéphane Cueni Yellow Card

84' ▮

Fabian Rohner assist: Theo Golliard

90+3' ⚽ 1–1

Theo Golliard Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

FC Winterthur oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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FC Winterthur

WWWDD

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

DWWWD

Last 3 meetings FC Winterthur · 3W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	2
1	9	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Winterthur goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	6.3%	4.4%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.4%	13.7%	6.7%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.4%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.3%	4.8%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.7%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Winterthur	Draw	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Winterthur	30.0%	5.2%	2.0%
Draw	15.0%	17.8%	11.3%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	1.8%	3.6%	13.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

3 FC Winterthur Wins

0 Draws

0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Apr 2024	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0 - 1	FC Winterthur
27 Jan 2024	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	1 - 3	FC Winterthur
23 Sep 2023	FC Winterthur	2 - 1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

FC Winterthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H FC Aarau	W	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Étoile Carouge	W	0 - 1
04 Sep	H Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	4 - 0
01 Sep	A Stade Nyonnais	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	D	1 - 1

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Yverdon Sport	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H FC WIL 1900	W	4 - 0
04 Sep	A SC Kriens	W	0 - 2
01 Sep	H Étoile Carouge	W	3 - 0
28 Aug	A FC Winterthur	D	1 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.