Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prognose

Challenge League · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Away

Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge

KI-Tipp Étoile Carouge oder Unentschieden

40%

27%

33%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Étoile Carouge vs. Neuchatel Xamax FC Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Étoile Carouge eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 40%, für Neuchatel Xamax FC 33% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 7 Aug 2026, 20:07.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
Unter 3,5 Tore 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 18'

HT 0–1

⇄ 58'

▮ 67'

Yellow Card

⇄ 67'

⇄ 68'

77' ⇄

▮ 78'

Yellow Card

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

89' ⇄

Yellow Card

90' ▮

FT 0–1

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Étoile Carouge oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Étoile Carouge

LLDLW

Neuchatel Xamax FC

LWLLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Challenge League clash, Étoile Carouge faces Neuchatel Xamax FC. Étoile Carouge has shown a solid home record, which could play a crucial role in their performance. On the other hand, Neuchatel Xamax FC will look to exploit any defensive weaknesses, as they aim for a strong away showing. Both teams have had mixed results in their recent fixtures, making this a pivotal match for positioning in the league standings. Expect a competitive encounter as both sides vie for crucial points in the early stages of the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Neuchatel Xamax FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Étoile Carouge goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.9%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
1	9.6%	14.1%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.1%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.0%	4.4%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Étoile Carouge	Draw	Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge	27.0%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	15.4%	18.5%	9.5%
Neuchatel Xamax FC	2.2%	4.8%	17.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Étoile Carouge — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SC Kriens	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	H FC Winterthur	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	H FC WIL 1900	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	L	3 - 0
28 Aug	H Rapperswil	W	2 - 1

Neuchatel Xamax FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Rapperswil	L	0 - 3
11 Sep	A Stade Nyonnais	W	1 - 3
04 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	4 - 0
01 Sep	H Yverdon Sport	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A FC Aarau	L	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.