Vukovar vs Jadran LP Prognose

First NL · Regular Season - 6

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Vukovar

Home

2 : 3

HT 2 - 2

Jadran LP

Away

KI-Tipp Vukovar oder Unentschieden

45%

30%

26%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Vukovar vs. Jadran LP Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Vukovar eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 45%, für Jadran LP 26% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 16:26.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Über 1,5 Tore 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

⚽ 0–2 21'

25' ⚽ 1–2

▮ 28'

Yellow Card

35' ⚽ 2–2

HT 2–2

▮ 47'

Yellow Card

54' ▮

Yellow Card

66' ▮

Yellow Card

70' ▮

⚽ 2–3 86'

Yellow Card

89' ▮

FT 2–3

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Vukovar oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Vukovar

LWWDL

Jadran LP

WWLDW

Live insights

86' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-3! Jadran LP win probability: 94.1%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 10.8%.

78' time check 80% sure

Min 78: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 74.2%. Late goal chance: 28%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-2. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 34.6%, Away win 2H: 21.8%.

37' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 40%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

26' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Jadran LP win: 60.1%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

26%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Jadran LP goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Vukovar goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	7.0%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
1	10.4%	14.2%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.1%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.2%	4.4%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Vukovar	Draw	Jadran LP
Vukovar	22.9%	3.2%	1.0%
Draw	19.8%	18.9%	9.1%
Jadran LP	3.2%	5.5%	16.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Vukovar vs Jadran LP

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Vukovar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Jadran LP	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Croatia Zmijavci	W	2 - 3
09 Sep	H HNK Cibalia	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	H HNK Cibalia	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Dinamo Zagreb U21	L	2 - 6

Jadran LP — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Vukovar	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Orijent 1919	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Bsk Bijelo Brdo	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dubrava Zagreb	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Hrvace	W	1 - 4

First NL Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Jadran LP	6	3	2	1	11	7	+4	11
2	Mladost Ždralovi	6	3	2	1	6	5	+1	11
3	Croatia Zmijavci	6	3	1	2	9	6	+3	10
4	HNK Cibalia	6	2	4	0	6	4	+2	10
5	Segesta Sisak	6	3	1	2	8	7	+1	10
6	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
7	Sesvete	6	3	0	3	9	6	+3	9
8	Dugopolje	6	2	3	1	9	8	+1	9
9	Orijent 1919	6	2	2	2	6	5	+1	8
10	Dubrava Zagreb	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8
11	Vukovar	6	2	2	2	11	13	-2	8
12	Karlovac 1919	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
13	Dinamo Zagreb U21	6	2	0	4	10	11	-1	6
14	Kustosija	6	1	3	2	3	4	-1	6
15	Opatija	6	1	1	4	7	10	-3	4
16	Hrvace	6	1	1	4	4	12	-8	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.