Amarante vs União de Leiria Prognose

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

União de Leiria

Away

KI-Tipp União de Leiria oder Unentschieden

28%

31%

42%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Amarante vs. União de Leiria Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Amarante eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 28%, für União de Leiria 42% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 13 Sep 2026, 16:32.

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Timeline

⇄ 4'

Yellow Card

23' ▮

Red Card

41' ▮

45+1' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

46' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 51'

62' ⇄

Simao Silva

62' ⇄

⇄ 69'

⇄ 75'

⚽ 1–2 80'

82' ⚽ 2–2

90' ⇄

90+5' ⇄

Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

FT 2–2

Amarante

Match Stats

União de Leiria

41% Ball Possession 59%

8 Total Shots 17

4 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 10

0 Blocked Shots 0

5 Corner Kicks 5

2 Yellow Cards 0

1 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

União de Leiria oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Amarante

WDLWD

União de Leiria

WDWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

União de Leiria goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	8	4	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	7	4	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Amarante goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

31%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

31%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	10.8%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
1	8.1%	14.7%	8.6%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.1%	6.8%	4.5%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.8%	2.3%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Amarante	Draw	União de Leiria
Amarante	16.2%	3.8%	1.4%
Draw	10.8%	20.1%	12.7%
União de Leiria	1.5%	4.9%	28.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Amarante vs União de Leiria

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Amarante — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Ponte da Barca	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H União de Leiria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Leixoes	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Benfica B	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Vizela	D	0 - 0

União de Leiria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A O Elvas	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	A Amarante	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Portimonense	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Tondela	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Leixoes	W	2 - 4

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12
4	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	+3	11
5	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	+2	10
6	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	+3	10
7	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
8	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	-2	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	+1	9
10	Farense	5	2	2	1	7	5	+2	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	6	6	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4	13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	-7	1

União de Leiria

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

99 Odehnal

70 Masaki

16 Pedro

44 Marcelo

68 Maga

17 Fernández

98 Ibrahima

19 Lottin

21 Jaime

9 Muñoz

7 Adjugu

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	J. Odehnal	G
68	Maga	D
44	Marcelo	D
16	Zé Pedro	D
70	H. Masaki	F
21	Jaime	F
19	A. Lottin	M
98	Ibrahima	M
17	Pablo Fernández	M
7	Jose Adjugu	F
9	Juan Muñoz	F

Substitutes

5	Miguel Nóbrega	D
82	S. Lukisa	F
29	D. Loppy	F
88	Diogo Martins	M
25	Diogo Amado	M
42	Tomas Caturra	D
79	Pedro Oliveira	F
18	Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva	M
11	Jair da Silva	F
8	Reko	M
6	E. Kouassi	M
80	Christian Joel	G

Amarante

Formation: 3-4-3

65 Figueiredo

2 Cunha

4 Filipe

3 Mendes

36 Custódio

8 Tokinho

26 Zangre

28 Costa

20 Machado

10 Costa

78 ramos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
65	Diogo Figueiredo	G
3	Feliciano Mendes	D
4	João Filipe	D
2	Gonçalo Cunha	D
28	Diogo Costa	D
26	A. Zangre	M
8	Tokinho	M
36	Ian Custódio	D
78	ruben ramos	D
10	M. Costa	F
20	Luís Machado	F

Substitutes

51	Diogo Fernandes	G
1	Rafael Flores	G
15	Rodrigo Beirão	D
85	Nito Gomes	D
88	Rúben Alves	F
6	Rodrigo Guedes	M
14	A. Idache	F
91	Rudi Almeida	F
9	cardoso	M
23	K. Ikugar	F
5	Joao Ricardo	F
12	lawrence	F