HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 21

Post on X

HJK Helsinki

Home

2 : 3

HT 2 - 0

Gnistan

Away

Bolt Arena, Helsinki

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für HJK Helsinki

57%

24%

19%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

HJK Helsinki vs. Gnistan Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für HJK Helsinki eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 57%, für Gnistan 19% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Aug 2026, 13:59.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Unter 3,5 Tore 73%

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Timeline

S. Haarala

23' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 35'

V. Tikkanen assist: L. Montano

45+2' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

G. Europaeus ⇄ A. Atarah

A. Ring Yellow Card

55' ▮

⇄ 60'

S. Ylätupa ⇄ J. Latonen

▮ 67'

Bogdan Milovanov Yellow Card

⚽ 2–1 68'

A. Akinyemi assist: A. Atarah

K. Simojoki Yellow Card

70' ▮

K. Simojoki ⇄ M. Ylitolva

71' ⇄

A. Ring ⇄ J. Kallinen

71' ⇄

⇄ T. Pukki

71' ⇄

⇄ 76'

R. Eremenko ⇄ D. Pérez

▮ 78'

E. Arko-Mensah Yellow Card

⚽ 2–2 83'

A. Akinyemi assist: Bogdan Milovanov

Alfie Cicale ⇄ L. Lappalainen

86' ⇄

S. Haarala

86' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 89'

D. Pérez

FT 2–3

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für HJK Helsinki

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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HJK Helsinki

DDWLW

Gnistan

DWDDW

Last 1 meetings HJK Helsinki · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

57%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gnistan goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ HJK Helsinki goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers 4 gls

T. Pukki 3 gls

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	4.8%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
1	11.2%	12.6%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	9.8%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.6%	5.8%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.9%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HJK Helsinki	Draw	Gnistan
HJK Helsinki	35.4%	3.6%	1.0%
Draw	20.0%	16.6%	6.9%
Gnistan	2.6%	4.0%	9.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan

0 HJK Helsinki Wins

1 Draws

0 Gnistan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Sep 2026	Gnistan	1 - 1	HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A KuPS	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Inter Turku	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Ilves	W	1 - 2

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Joonas Rantanen

44 Marković

14 Montano

3 Cissokho

6 Tikkanen

13 Simojoki

7 Cicale

8 Mentu

4 Ring

29 Haarala

17 Kirilov

9 Borchers

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
44	Matej Marković	G
13	Kaius Simojoki	D
6	Ville Tikkanen	D
3	Till Cissokho	D
14	Leonel Montano	D
29	Santeri Haarala	F
4	Alexander Ring	M
8	Pyry Mentu	M
7	Alfie Cicale	M
9	Mads Borchers	F
17	Martin Kirilov	M

Substitutes

1	Jesse Öst	G
28	Miska Ylitolva	D
65	Amara Nallo	D
32	Mouhamed Gueye	M
15	Jere Kallinen	M
26	Lassi Lappalainen	M
22	Liam Möller	M
20	Teemu Pukki	F
43	Pape Ibrahima Ndir	F

Gnistan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

95 Juricka

3 Ruxi

67 Obileye

24 Gnanou

12 Arko-Mensah

15 Europaeus

31 Jouhi

19 Milovanov

26 Eremenko

23 Ylätupa

17 Akinyemi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
95	Matej Juricka	G
24	Rachide Gnanou	D
67	Ayo Obileye	D
3	Ruxi	D
19	Bogdan Milovanov	D
31	Adam Jouhi	M
15	Gabriel Europaeus	M
12	Edmund Arko-Mensah	D
23	Saku Ylätupa	M
26	Roman Eremenko	F
17	Adeleke Akinyemi	F

Substitutes

13	Oskar Lyberopoulos	G
7	Artur Atarah	F
40	Juhani Ojala	D
2	Benjamin Dahlström	D
14	Sergei Eremenko	M
27	Otto Hannula	M
10	Joakim Latonen	F
11	Danny Pérez	F