Mariehamn vs SJK Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 20

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Mariehamn

Home

2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

SJK

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für SJK

15%

22%

63%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Mariehamn vs. SJK Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Mariehamn eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 15%, für SJK 63% und für ein Unentschieden 22%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 15 Aug 2026, 17:55.

Timeline

Rui Monteiro assist: Arvid Bergvik

18' ⚽ 1–0

A. Stroud ⇄ M. Hyvönen

28' ⇄

Rui Monteiro ⇄ A. Huttunen

33' ⇄

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

A. Boström

Arvid Bergvik

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

O. Väistö

N. Nurmi

48' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 61'

J. Streng ⇄ E. Mastokangas

▮ 64'

Yellow Card

⇄ 67'

A. Wilson

Ludvig Richtnér Yellow Card

68' ▮

▮ 77'

Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

A. Larsson

86' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für SJK

Most likely score

0:1 · 17.5%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Mariehamn

LWLWW

SJK

WDDDL

Last 1 meetings Mariehamn · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SJK goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	18	14	7	3	1
1	6	12	8	4	1
2	2	3	2	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Mariehamn goals · most likely 0–1 (17.5%)

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Players in form

Mariehamn

No scorer data.

SJK

E. Mastokangas 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

22%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

22%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

81% Away (No Draw) 19% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.2%	17.5%	14.0%	6.9%	2.6%
1	6.0%	12.4%	8.1%	4.0%	1.5%
2	2.2%	3.2%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%
3	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

44%

35%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mariehamn	Draw	SJK
Mariehamn	7.3%	3.5%	2.1%
Draw	6.0%	21.1%	24.5%
SJK	0.5%	2.7%	32.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

56%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mariehamn vs SJK

0 Mariehamn Wins

0 Draws

1 SJK Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Sep 2026	SJK	2 - 1	Mariehamn

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SJK	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Lahti	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A KuPS	W	2 - 4

SJK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Turku PS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Lahti	L	1 - 2

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo

1 Lund

3 Soiniemi

15 Gyamfi

2 Nurmi

4 Richtnér

8 Heyden

11 Svedberg

18 Stroud

14 Bergvik

22 Monteiro

7 Larsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Kevin Lund	G
4	Ludvig Richtnér	D
2	Noah Nurmi	D
15	Foster Gyamfi	D
3	Aaro Soiniemi	D
11	Jonathan Svedberg	M
8	Jelle van der Heyden	M
22	Rui Monteiro	M
14	Arvid Bergvik	M
18	Adam Stroud	M
7	Adam Larsson	F

Substitutes

64	Marlo Hyvonen	M
16	Anttoni Huttunen	M
23	Viktor Widlund	D
32	Matias Riikonen	G
24	Otto Pajunen	D
5	Tuomas Koivisto	D
19	Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen	M
9	Wille Nuñez	F
43	Leo Andersson	F

SJK

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jarkko Wiss

1 Paunio

14 Murilo

5 Väistö

2 Constantini

6 Yussif

15 Mömmö

23 Wilson

8 Bostrom

31 Onuoha

7 Nascimento

9 Streng

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Roope Paunio	G
6	Salim Giabo Yussif	D
2	Facundo Constantini	D
5	Oskari Väistö	D
14	Murilo	M
31	Gospel Chibueze Junior Onuoha	M
8	Aapo Bostrom	M
23	Armaan Wilson	M
15	Eetu Mömmö	D
9	Jeremiah Streng	F
7	Kelwin Souza do Nascimento	F

Substitutes

28	Karlson Nwanege	D
47	Muhammed Suso	M
19	Elias Mastokangas	M
42	Caio Araújo	M
35	Johannes Viitala	G
26	Jaakko Moisio	D
22	Leon Vesterbacka	M
17	Vertti Hänninen	M
51	Aziz Cisse	F