Lahti vs KuPS Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 20

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Lahti

Home

1 : 2

HT 1 - 2

KuPS

Away

Lahden Stadion, Lahti

KI-Tipp KuPS oder Unentschieden

28%

44%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Lahti vs. KuPS Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lahti eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 28%, für KuPS 44% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 16 Aug 2026, 15:56.

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Timeline

O. Koskinen assist: M. Sarr

2' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 11'

assist: B. Armah

⚽ 1–2 17'

J. Luyeye-Lutumba assist: B. Armah

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 1–2

J. Muller Yellow Card

51' ▮

⇄ 66'

C. Antwi ⇄ G. Engvall

⇄ 66'

B. Armah ⇄ S. Touray

O. Koskinen ⇄ D. Heikkinen

69' ⇄

Martim Ferreira ⇄ A. Belabid

69' ⇄

J. Muller ⇄ V. Vehkonen

69' ⇄

⇄ 70'

P. Parzyszek

⇄ 70'

⇄ P. Pennanen

▮ 72'

V. Gasc Yellow Card

R. Sans Yellow Card

80' ▮

R. Yapi

82' ⇄

⇄ A. Lindholm

82' ⇄

⇄ 87'

S. Heiskanen

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

KuPS oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Lahti

DLWWW

KuPS

WDDLW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KuPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	15	13	7	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	3	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Lahti goals · most likely 0–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Lahti

Martim Ferreira 4 gls

KuPS

J. Moreno 5 gls

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls

B. Armah 3 gls

P. Pennanen 2 gls

G. Engvall 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	14.5%	12.8%	6.8%	2.7%
1	5.6%	12.8%	9.1%	4.8%	1.9%
2	2.5%	4.0%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%
3	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lahti	Draw	KuPS
Lahti	8.7%	3.3%	1.7%
Draw	6.3%	18.9%	17.8%
KuPS	0.8%	3.7%	39.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lahti vs KuPS

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lahti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ilves	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A VPS	W	0 - 1
21 Aug	A SJK	W	1 - 2

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VPS	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	0 - 0
08 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
27 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	W	1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miika Nuutinen

1 Kreidl

25 Antwi

33 Hämäläinen

23 Lötjönen

6 Savolainen

3 Heiskanen

10 Gasc

24 Armah

16 Jyry

21 Luyeye-Lutumba

20 Parzyszek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Johannes Kreidl	G
6	Saku Savolainen	D
23	Arttu Lötjönen	D
33	Taneli Hämäläinen	D
25	Clinton Antwi	D
10	Valentín Gasc	M
3	Saku Heiskanen	M
21	Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba	M
16	Tommi Jyry	M
24	Bob Nii Armah	D
20	Piotr Parzyszek	F

Substitutes

22	Saikou Touray	M
9	Gustav Engvall	F
12	Hemmo Riihimäki	G
29	Akseli Puukko	D
28	Brahima Magassa	D
17	Arttu Heinonen	M
8	Petteri Pennanen	M
11	Jaime Moreno	F
19	Calvin Kabuye	F

Lahti

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Goncalo Pereira

12 Hakala

3 Sans

4 Müller

5 Dantas

27 Yapi

10 Koskinen

18 Cassubie

8 Montiel

11 Ferreira

19 Barbosa

77 Sarr

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Aatu Hakala	G
27	Romaric Yapi	D
5	Nicolas Gianini Dantas	D
4	José Müller	D
3	Romain Sans	D
8	Tòfol Montiel	M
18	Yohan Cassubie	M
10	Otso Koskinen	M
77	Momodou Sarr	F
19	Neemias Barbosa	F
11	Martim Ferreira	F

Substitutes

31	Osku Maukonen	G
25	Topias Inkinen	D
6	Väinö Vehkonen	D
28	Armend Kabashi	M
20	Justus Ojanen	M
14	Erik Andersson	M
7	Daniel Heikkinen	M
9	Aaron Lindholm	F
17	Amir Belabid	F