Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München Prognose
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Bayern München
21%
23%
57%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern München Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Borussia Dortmund eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 21%, für Bayern München 57% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
28'
Nathaniel Brown
assist: Michael Olise
Ramy Bensebaini
Goal Disallowed - offside
42'
🖵
▮
45+1'
Luis Díaz
Yellow Card
⚽
0–2
45+1'
Michael Olise
HT 0–2
Samuele Inacio
46'
⇄
⇄ Maximilian Beier
62'
⇄
Felix Nmecha
⇄ Joey Veerman
63'
⇄
Serhou Guirassy
⇄ Fábio Silva
63'
⇄
⇄
68'
Josip Stanišić
⇄ Alphonso Davies
Julian Ryerson
⇄ Marcel Sabitzer
73'
⇄
Fábio Silva
assist: Daniel Svensson
75'
⚽
1–2
⇄
81'
Nathaniel Brown
⇄ Ismael Saibari
Ramy Bensebaini
Red Card
90'
▮
⇄
90+5'
Luis Díaz
⇄ Tom Bischof
FT 1–2
Borussia Dortmund
Match Stats
Bayern München
36%
Ball Possession
64%
Expected Goals (xG)
5
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots off Goal
7
1
Blocked Shots
4
4
Shots insidebox
7
1
Shots outsidebox
10
6
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
300
Total passes
550
237
Passes accurate
493
79%
Passes %
90%
goals_prevented
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Giannis Konstantelias M | 7.3 | 36' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 5 Ramy Bensebaini D | 7.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 41 (38%) | 5 |
| 21 Fábio Silva F | 7.2 | 18' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 40 Samuele Inacio F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 3 |
| 26 Julian Ryerson M | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | 4 |
| 19 Konstantinos Karetsas F | 6.7 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 19 (11%) | 2 |
| 24 Daniel Svensson M | 6.6 | 81' | – | 1 | 1 | 23 (16%) | – |
| 8 Felix Nmecha M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 3 Waldemar Anton D | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 1 |
| 14 Maximilian Beier F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 10 (5%) | – |
| 25 Joey Veerman M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 1 Gregor Kobel G | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 32 (21%) | – |
| 20 Marcel Sabitzer M | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 9 Serhou Guirassy F | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 7 Jobe Bellingham M | 6.0 | 81' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | 4 |
| 22 Joane Gadou D | 5.9 | 81' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | – |
Bayern München
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Michael Olise M | 7.9 | 81' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 54 (46%) | – |
| 11 Nathaniel Brown M | 7.7 | 81' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 6 Joshua Kimmich M | 7.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 72 (68%) | 1 |
| 45 Aleksandar Pavlović M | 7.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 94 (89%) | 1 |
| 9 Harry Kane F | 7.2 | 81' | – | – | 4 | 36 (31%) | – |
| 44 Josip Stanišić D | 7.0 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 36 (31%) | 2 |
| 4 Jonathan Tah D | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 1 |
| 3 Kim Min-jae D | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 75 (70%) | – |
| 19 Alphonso Davies D | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 1 Manuel Neuer G | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 39 (26%) | – |
| 27 Konrad Laimer D | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 33 (31%) | 1 |
| 14 Luis Díaz M | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 41 (38%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Bayern München
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Borussia Dortmund
WWWWW
Bayern München
WWWDW
Last 3 meetings
Borussia Dortmund · 0W 1D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
21%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
57%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Borussia Dortmund
Fábio Silva
1 gls
D. Svensson
0 gls
M. Sabitzer
0 gls
J. Veerman
0 gls
M. Beier
0 gls
Bayern München
M. Olise
1 gls
N. Brown
1 gls
A. Davies
0 gls
J. Stanišić
0 gls
Kim Min-Jae
0 gls
AI match tools
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München
0
Borussia Dortmund Wins
1
Draws
2
Bayern München Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 3 | Bayern München |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bayern München | 2 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Bayern München | 2 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A VfB Stuttgart | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H SC Paderborn 07 | W | 3 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Villarreal | W | 3 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A 1899 Hoffenheim | W | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Sep | A HEBC | W | 0 - 5 |
Bayern München — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Union Berlin | W | 7 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A SV Elversberg | W | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | H Bodo/Glimt | W | 5 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Schalke 04 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A VfL Osnabrück | W | 1 - 4 |
Super Cup Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
Bayern München
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Kompany
1
Neuer
44
Stanišić
3
Min-jae
4
Tah
27
Laimer
45
Pavlović
6
Kimmich
14
Díaz
11
Brown
17
Olise
9
Kane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Neuer | G |
| 27 | Konrad Laimer | D |
| 4 | Jonathan Tah | D |
| 3 | Kim Min-jae | D |
| 44 | Josip Stanišić | D |
| 6 | Joshua Kimmich | M |
| 45 | Aleksandar Pavlović | M |
| 17 | Michael Olise | M |
| 11 | Nathaniel Brown | M |
| 14 | Luis Díaz | M |
| 9 | Harry Kane | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | Alphonso Davies | D |
| 34 | Ismael Saibari | M |
| 40 | Jonas Urbig | G |
| 21 | Hiroki Itō | D |
| 2 | Dayot Upamecano | D |
| 22 | Arijon Ibrahimović | M |
| 8 | Tom Bischof | M |
| 39 | Bara Sapoko Ndiaye | M |
| 49 | Maycon Cardozo | M |
Borussia Dortmund
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: N. Kovač
1
Kobel
5
Bensebaini
3
Anton
22
Gadou
26
Ryerson
8
Nmecha
7
Bellingham
24
Svensson
40
Inacio
19
Karetsas
9
Guirassy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregor Kobel | G |
| 22 | Joane Gadou | D |
| 3 | Waldemar Anton | D |
| 5 | Ramy Bensebaini | D |
| 24 | Daniel Svensson | M |
| 7 | Jobe Bellingham | M |
| 8 | Felix Nmecha | M |
| 26 | Julian Ryerson | M |
| 19 | Konstantinos Karetsas | F |
| 40 | Samuele Inacio | F |
| 9 | Serhou Guirassy | F |
Substitutes
| 45 | Giannis Konstantelias | M |
| 14 | Maximilian Beier | F |
| 25 | Joey Veerman | M |
| 21 | Fábio Silva | F |
| 20 | Marcel Sabitzer | M |
| 33 | Alexander Meyer | G |
| 49 | Luca Reggiani | D |
| 39 | Filippo Mané | D |
| 41 | Mathis Albert | F |