SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg Prognose

3. Liga · Regular Season - 7

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SV Wehen

Home

1 : 4

HT 1 - 3

MSV Duisburg

Away

BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden

KI-Tipp MSV Duisburg oder Unentschieden

29%

28%

43%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

SV Wehen vs. MSV Duisburg Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für SV Wehen eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 29%, für MSV Duisburg 43% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 19:22.

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1st Half Draw or Away 73%
Heimteam trifft 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 18'

Dominik Kother assist: Aljaž Casar

⚽ 0–2 25'

Dominik Kother assist: Conor Noß

⚽ 0–3 32'

assist: Dominik Kother

Lukas Schleimer assist: Raul Paula

45' ⚽ 1–3

⇄ 45'

Niklas Jessen ⇄ Can Coskun

Raul Paula

45' ⇄

Moritz Flotho

45' ⇄

HT 1–3

⚽ 1–4 54'

Conor Noß

Lukas Schleimer Yellow Card

57' ▮

Tarık Gözüşirin Red Card

59' ▮

⇄ 67'

Conor Noß ⇄ Florian Krüger

⇄ 67'

Dominik Kother

72' ⇄

R. Massimo ⇄ Simon Stehle

72' ⇄

⇄ 76'

⇄ Max Besuschkow

Simon Stehle Yellow Card

81' ▮

Jordy Gillekens

82' ⇄

⇄ 88'

FT 1–4

SV Wehen

Match Stats

MSV Duisburg

52% Ball Possession 48%

11 Total Shots 10

5 Shots on Goal 7

6 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 0

1 Corner Kicks 8

2 Yellow Cards 0

1 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

MSV Duisburg oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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SV Wehen

LWLDD

MSV Duisburg

WWLWW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: MSV Duisburg leads 1-4. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

56' Goal 85% sure

MSV Duisburg now leads 1-4 with 99.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 63.9%.

45' Goal 85% sure

MSV Duisburg now leads 1-3 with 93.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.7%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-3. MSV Duisburg leads. Win probability: 93.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.7%.

33' Goal 85% sure

MSV Duisburg now leads 0-3 with 98% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

29%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

MSV Duisburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	8	7	4	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ SV Wehen goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 29% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	8.0%	7.4%	3.8%	1.5%
1	6.1%	13.4%	9.2%	4.8%	1.8%
2	4.8%	7.4%	5.7%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.0%	3.1%	2.4%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SV Wehen	Draw	MSV Duisburg
SV Wehen	17.9%	5.4%	3.3%
Draw	10.5%	17.2%	17.9%
MSV Duisburg	1.5%	3.7%	22.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SV Wehen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H MSV Duisburg	L	1 - 4
16 Sep	A Fortuna Köln	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Waldhof Mannheim	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Hansa Rostock	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Rot-Weiß Essen	D	0 - 0

MSV Duisburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SV Wehen	W	1 - 4
15 Sep	H Havelse	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Düsseldorf	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A SSV Jahn Regensburg	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Würzburger Kickers	W	3 - 0

3. Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	+12	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	+10	15
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	+4	14
4	FC Saarbrücken	7	4	1	2	19	12	+7	13
5	Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	0	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11
8	Preußen Münster	7	3	2	2	12	13	-1	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	+1	10
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	-1	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	-3	10
12	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	7	11	-4	8
14	Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	-3	7
15	Würzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
16	Fortuna Köln	6	1	3	2	5	7	-2	6
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	-7	6
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	-4	5
19	SV Wehen	7	1	2	4	5	13	-8	5
20	Havelse	6	1	1	4	9	12	-3	4