Verl vs MSV Duisburg Prognose

3. Liga · Regular Season - 2

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Verl

Home

2 : 4

HT 1 - 0

MSV Duisburg

Away

SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

KI-Tipp MSV Duisburg oder Unentschieden

32%

28%

40%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Verl vs. MSV Duisburg Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Verl eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 32%, für MSV Duisburg 40% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 15 Aug 2026, 16:27.

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Auswärtsteam trifft 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Unter 3,5 Tore 73%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%
Heimteam trifft 72%

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Timeline

8' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 20'

Yellow Card

28' ▮

Yellow Card

33' ▮

HT 1–0

46' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

48' ▮

Red Card

48' ▮

50' ⇄

⇄ 58'

⚽ 2–1 61'

⚽ 2–2 62'

66' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 69'

Penalty

⚽ 2–4 72'

75' ⇄

⇄ 76'

FT 2–4

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

MSV Duisburg oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Verl

WDWWL

MSV Duisburg

WWLWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

MSV Duisburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Verl goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	8.2%	6.7%	3.1%	1.1%
1	7.5%	14.1%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
2	5.8%	7.9%	5.4%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.5%	3.4%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Verl	Draw	MSV Duisburg
Verl	19.4%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	12.7%	18.3%	14.0%
MSV Duisburg	1.9%	4.6%	22.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Verl vs MSV Duisburg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Verl — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Würzburger Kickers	W	2 - 1
15 Sep	A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SV Meppen	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Waldhof Mannheim	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Fortuna Köln	L	1 - 2

MSV Duisburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SV Wehen	W	1 - 4
15 Sep	H Havelse	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Düsseldorf	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A SSV Jahn Regensburg	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Würzburger Kickers	W	3 - 0

3. Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	+12	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	+10	15
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	+4	14
4	FC Saarbrücken	7	4	1	2	19	12	+7	13
5	Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	0	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11
8	Preußen Münster	7	3	2	2	12	13	-1	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	+1	10
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	-1	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	-3	10
12	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	7	11	-4	8
14	Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	-3	7
15	Würzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
16	Fortuna Köln	6	1	3	2	5	7	-2	6
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	-7	6
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	-4	5
19	SV Wehen	7	1	2	4	5	13	-8	5
20	Havelse	6	1	1	4	9	12	-3	4

MSV Duisburg

Coach: D. Hirsch

Verl

Coach: Orest Shala