Swindon Town vs Port Vale Prognose

League Two · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Port Vale

Away

KI-Tipp Swindon Town oder Unentschieden

39%

29%

33%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Swindon Town vs. Port Vale Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Swindon Town eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 39%, für Port Vale 33% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 1 Sep 2026, 20:42.

Premium-Tipps

Premium

Heimteam trifft 76%
Über 1,5 Tore 71%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

Premium-Mitglieder hatten diese Tipps vor dem Anpfiff. Premium-Analysen ansehen

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 2'

Oliver Lynch assist: Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel

Aaron Drinan

13' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Ben Waine ⇄ Tyreece Simpson

⇄ 46'

Onel Hernández ⇄ Lewis Montsma

⇄ 46'

M. Craig ⇄ Ben Garrity

Tom Nichols ⇄ J. Snowdon

56' ⇄

Ryan Tafazolli ⇄ Ben Middlemas

56' ⇄

▮ 58'

Cameron Humphreys Yellow Card

Ben Middlemas

71' ⚽ 2–1

Ollie Palmer ⇄ Louis Millard

74' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Rhys Walters ⇄ George Hall

⇄ 81'

Liam Gordon ⇄ Jaheim Headley

Yellow Card

87' ▮

Aaron Drinan

90+3' ⇄

Louis Millard

90+4' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

Premium

Vollständige KI-Analyse für Swindon Town vs Port Vale freischalten

Alle 70+ Wahrscheinlichkeitsmärkte
KI Deep-Dive Spielbericht
Value Edge — Modell vs. Markt
Von dir gewählte Tipp-Typen

Zu Premium wechseln

Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Swindon Town oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Swindon Town

LLLLW

Port Vale

DLWLL

Match summary

Swindon Town faces Port Vale in a League Two matchup on September 1, 2026. Swindon has shown a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Port Vale's defense has conceded an average of 1.3 goals. Conversely, Port Vale's attack is slightly more clinical, converting 12% of their chances compared to Swindon’s 10%. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on set pieces, as they rank among the top in the league for goals from corners. This contest is likely to be closely contested, with tactical adjustments from both managers playing a crucial role in the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Port Vale goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Swindon Town goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Swindon Town

A. Drinan 5 gls

Port Vale

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Warum diese Auswahl? · Premium KI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	7.2%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
1	11.4%	14.3%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.3%	9.0%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.4%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.5%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
Swindon Town	30.4%	4.8%	1.6%
Draw	15.2%	19.5%	10.4%
Port Vale	1.6%	3.6%	12.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Swindon Town vs Port Vale

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Swindon Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Newport County	L	0 - 2
19 Sep	A Salford City	L	1 - 0
15 Sep	H Crystal Palace U21	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A York	L	4 - 0
05 Sep	H Colchester	W	3 - 1

Port Vale — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Chesterfield	D	1 - 1
19 Sep	A Walsall	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Exeter City	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Salford City	L	1 - 0
01 Sep	A Swindon Town	L	3 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4

Port Vale

Coach: Jon Brady

Swindon Town

Coach: Ian Holloway