Blackpool vs Plymouth Prognose

League One · Regular Season - 7

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Blackpool

Home

2 : 4

HT 1 - 1

Plymouth

Away

Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, Lancashire

KI-Tipp Plymouth oder Unentschieden

33%

27%

40%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Blackpool vs. Plymouth Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Blackpool eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 33%, für Plymouth 40% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 15:57.

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Heimteam trifft 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Jordan Brown assist: Zachary Ashworth

30' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 36'

Oliver Irow

Jerry Yates Yellow Card

38' ▮

HT 1–1

Jordan Lee Williams Yellow Card

47' ▮

⚽ 1–2 52'

Oliver Irow

⚽ 1–3 57'

Harvey White

Josh Earl ⇄ Finley Munroe

59' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Matthew Sorinola ⇄ Joe Edwards

⇄ 66'

Julio Pleguezuelo ⇄ Mathias Ross

Jerry Yates assist: Josh Bowler

70' ⚽ 2–3

Karoy Anderson Yellow Card

71' ▮

Albie Morgan ⇄ Dion Charles

74' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Oliver Irow ⇄ Caleb Watts

Jordan Brown ⇄ Leighton Clarkson

79' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Will Evans ⇄ Bradley Ibrahim

⚽ 2–4 89'

Aribim Pepple assist: Ronan Curtis

FT 2–4

Blackpool

Match Stats

Plymouth

52% Ball Possession 48%

10 Total Shots 24

4 Shots on Goal 9

5 Shots off Goal 9

1 Blocked Shots 6

6 Shots insidebox 14

4 Shots outsidebox 10

3 Corner Kicks 8

0 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 7

3 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

352 Total passes 319

208 Passes accurate 204

7 Free Kicks 15

Blackpool

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Jerry Yates F	7.3	90'	1	–	1	16 (9%)	–
6 Jordan Brown M	7.1	79'	1	–	2	22 (16%)	–
14 Tom Bloxham F	6.5	90'	–	–	2	8 (5%)	–
19 Dion Charles F	6.4	16'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
11 Josh Bowler M	6.2	90'	–	1	2	26 (16%)	2
1 Bailey Peacock-Farrell G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	47 (17%)	–
4 Oliver Casey D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	45 (33%)	1
7 Leighton Clarkson M	5.8	11'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	1
8 Albie Morgan M	5.8	74'	–	–	1	17 (12%)	–
26 Finley Munroe D	5.6	31'	–	–	–	10 (5%)	2
3 Zachary Ashworth D	5.5	90'	–	1	–	37 (21%)	–
32 Josh Earl D	5.2	59'	–	–	–	29 (16%)	2
28 Jordan Lee Williams D	5.0	90'	–	–	1	52 (36%)	2
17 Karoy Anderson M	5.0	90'	–	–	1	34 (16%)	3

Plymouth

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Harvey White M	8.1	90'	1	–	7	45 (37%)	1
14 Oliver Irow M	8.1	77'	2	–	3	14 (7%)	1
27 Aribim Pepple F	7.6	90'	1	–	3	13 (12%)	–
11 Ronan Curtis M	6.9	90'	–	1	3	20 (8%)	–
2 Mathias Ross D	6.6	24'	–	–	–	12 (5%)	–
9 Will Evans M	6.5	86'	–	–	1	22 (17%)	1
23 Bradley Ibrahim M	6.4	4'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
17 Caleb Watts M	6.4	13'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D	6.2	66'	–	–	2	29 (21%)	–
29 Matthew Sorinola D	6.2	66'	–	–	1	26 (19%)	3
8 Joe Edwards D	6.1	24'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	–
19 Tyreeq Bakinson M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	39 (23%)	1
45 Wes Harding D	6.0	90'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	1
1 Murphy Cooper G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	30 (9%)	–
15 Alex Mitchell D	5.7	90'	–	–	2	30 (19%)	–

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Plymouth oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Blackpool

LLDLL

Plymouth

WWWWL

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Plymouth now leads 2-4 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Plymouth leads 2-3. Win probability: 84.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.4%.

72' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-3. Plymouth win: 81.9%. BTTS: 100%.

58' Goal 85% sure

Plymouth now leads 1-3 with 94.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 64.4%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Plymouth win: 74.2%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Plymouth goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	6	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Blackpool goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

Blackpool

No scorer data.

Plymouth

A. Pepple 3 gls

O. Irow 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

33%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

33%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	6.5%	6.3%	3.3%	1.3%
1	5.6%	12.7%	8.9%	4.7%	1.9%
2	5.0%	8.0%	6.3%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.4%	3.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%
4	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Blackpool	Draw	Plymouth
Blackpool	20.8%	5.2%	2.9%
Draw	11.0%	15.9%	14.7%
Plymouth	1.8%	4.2%	23.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Blackpool vs Plymouth

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Blackpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Wigan	L	3 - 2
19 Sep	H Plymouth	L	2 - 4
12 Sep	H Bromley	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Reading	L	3 - 1
02 Sep	A Barnsley	L	2 - 1

Plymouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Crystal Palace U21	W	5 - 1
19 Sep	A Blackpool	W	2 - 4
12 Sep	H Barnsley	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Doncaster	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A Leicester	L	2 - 0

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4