Cardiff vs Burnley Prognose

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 15
FT
Post on X
Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
KI-Tipp Cardiff oder Unentschieden
47%
25%
28%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Cardiff vs. Burnley Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Cardiff eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 47%, für Burnley 28% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 7 Nov 2026, 17:04.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'
Andreas Hountondji assist: Lucas Pires
⚽ 0–2 25'
Marcus Edwards assist: J. Banel
Ollie Tanner assist: Rubin Colwill
40' ⚽ 1–2
HT 1–2
Krystian Bielik Yellow Card
50' ▮
⚽ 1–3 55'
Largie Ramazani
⇄ 58'
Marcus Edwards ⇄ Aaron Ramsey
⇄ 58'
Reo Hatate ⇄ J. Cullen
⚽ 1–4 62'
Alex Robertson Own Goal
Ollie Tanner ⇄ Yousef Salech
63' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Lucas Pires ⇄ Connor Roberts
⇄ 64'
J. Banel ⇄ Oliver Sonne
Yousef Salech assist: Cian Ashford
65' ⚽ 2–4
Krystian Bielik ⇄ Calum Scanlon
71' ⇄
Jack Moylan Penalty
75' ⚽ 3–4
Joel Bagan Yellow Card
79' ▮
▮ 79'
Largie Ramazani Yellow Card
⇄ 80'
Andreas Hountondji ⇄ Zeki Amdouni
Yousef Salech assist: Rubin Colwill
82' ⚽ 4–4
Alex Robertson assist: Chris Willock
90+4' ⚽ 5–4
Jack Moylan ⇄ Joel Colwill
90+6' ⇄
Chris Willock ⇄ Ronan Kpakio
90+6' ⇄
▮ 90+9'
Kyle Walker Yellow Card
▮ 90+11'
Josh Laurent Yellow Card
Rubin Colwill Yellow Card
90+11' ▮
Yousef Salech Yellow Card
90+13' ▮
FT 5–4
Cardiff

Match Stats

Burnley
66% Ball Possession 34%
5.03 Expected Goals (xG) 2.31
25 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Goal 8
6 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 10
12 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
568 Total passes 287
498 Passes accurate 226
10 Free Kicks 7
Cardiff
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Yousef Salech F 9.0 27' 2 – 2 2 (1%) –
10 Rubin Colwill M 8.2 90' – 2 3 40 (30%) 2
16 Chris Willock M 7.9 96' – 1 – 22 (19%) –
18 Alex Robertson M 7.6 90' 1 – 4 79 (74%) 1
45 Cian Ashford M 7.6 90' – 1 3 25 (23%) 1
11 Ollie Tanner M 7.2 63' 1 – 3 31 (26%) –
1 Nathan Trott G 6.9 90' – – – 37 (31%) –
8 Jack Moylan F 6.9 96' 1 – 5 19 (16%) –
2 W. Fish D 6.5 90' – – 1 85 (79%) 2
5 Krystian Bielik D 6.3 71' – – – 89 (81%) –
3 Joel Bagan D 6.2 90' – – 1 66 (59%) 1
38 Perry Ng D 6.1 90' – – 3 61 (51%) 2
23 Calum Scanlon D 5.7 19' – – – 10 (7%) –
Burnley
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Largie Ramazani M 8.2 90' 1 – 4 30 (23%) –
17 Andreas Hountondji F 7.7 80' 1 – 3 9 (7%) –
10 Marcus Edwards M 7.4 58' 1 – 3 16 (12%) 1
11 Zeki Amdouni F 6.5 10' – – – 3 (3%) 1
21 Aaron Ramsey M 6.4 32' – – 3 16 (12%) 1
29 Josh Laurent M 6.3 90' – – – 26 (24%) 3
34 J. Banel M 6.3 64' – 1 – 6 (5%) –
37 Grégoire Coudert G 6.2 90' – – – 22 (13%) –
23 Lucas Pires D 6.2 64' – 1 – 11 (7%) 1
5 Reo Hatate M 6.0 58' – – – 11 (9%) 2
24 J. Cullen M 5.9 32' – – – 18 (17%) –
2 Kyle Walker D 5.8 90' – – – 43 (37%) 3
22 Oliver Sonne D 5.7 26' – – – 12 (8%) –
18 Hjalmar Ekdal D 5.5 90' – – 2 32 (23%) 1
44 Igor Júlio D 5.5 90' – – – 25 (20%) –
14 Connor Roberts D 5.4 26' – – – 5 (4%) –
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Cardiff oder Unentschieden
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Cardiff
WDLWD
Burnley
LDDLL
Last 2 meetings Cardiff · 0W 0D 2L

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 5-4! Cardiff win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Still level at 4-4. Draw looking likely at 81.2%. Late goal chance: 19.9%.

82' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 4-4. Draw probability: 76.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-4! Burnley win probability: 79.3%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 40.1%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Burnley leads 2-4. Win probability: 96.7%. Comeback chance: 3.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
28%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Cardiff
J. Moylan 9 gls
Burnley

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Cardiff vs Burnley

0 Cardiff Wins
0 Draws
2 Burnley Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Apr 2019 Burnley 2 - 0 Cardiff
30 Sep 2018 Cardiff 1 - 2 Burnley

Cardiff — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Burnley W 5 - 4
04 Nov H West Ham D 3 - 3
31 Oct A Wolves L 3 - 0
24 Oct H Birmingham W 1 - 0
17 Oct A Middlesbrough D 2 - 2

Burnley — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Cardiff L 5 - 4
03 Nov A QPR D 1 - 1
31 Oct H Portsmouth D 0 - 0
24 Oct A Lincoln L 4 - 1
16 Oct H Wolves L 1 - 2

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Burnley

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: F. Celestini
37 Coudert
23 Pires
44 Igor
18 Ekdal
2 Walker
5 Hatate
29 Laurent
34 Banel
10 Edwards
19 Ramazani
17 Hountondji

Starting XI

# Player Pos
37 G. Coudert G
2 K. Walker D
18 H. Ekdal D
44 Igor D
23 Lucas Pires D
29 J. Laurent M
5 R. Hatate M
19 L. Ramazani M
10 M. Edwards M
34 J. Banel M
17 A. Hountondji F

Substitutes

8 U. Raghouber M
21 A. Ramsey M
14 C. Roberts D
22 O. Sonne D
9 J. Vardy F
1 M. Weiß G
24 J. Cullen M
11 Z. Amdouni F
3 Max Alleyne D

Cardiff

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
1 Trott
3 Bagan
5 Bielik
2 Fish
38 Ng
45 Ashford
18 Robertson
16 Willock
10 Colwill
11 Tanner
8 Moylan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Trott G
38 P. Ng D
2 W. Fish D
5 K. Bielik D
3 J. Bagan D
18 A. Robertson M
45 Cian Ashford M
11 O. Tanner M
10 R. Colwill M
16 C. Willock M
8 J. Moylan F

Substitutes

27 J. Colwill M
44 R. Kpakio D
52 T. Perrett M
9 Y. Salech F
23 C. Scanlon D
33 R. Tankiewicz M
14 D. Turnbull M
30 H. Tyrer G
50 Charlie Holt M

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