Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prognose
FT
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Middlesbrough
19%
23%
58%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Bolton vs. Middlesbrough Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Bolton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 19%, für Middlesbrough 58% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Oct 2026, 20:54.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
13'
Aidan Morris
assist: Amario Cozier-Duberry
⚽
0–2
31'
Will Lankshear
assist: T. Conway
⚽
0–3
39'
Lewis Brunt
Own Goal
Akin Famewo
⇄ Max Conway
45'
⇄
Rúben Rodrigues
⇄ A. Ito
45'
⇄
Thelonius Bair
assist: Gaizka Larrazabal
45+2'
⚽
1–3
HT 1–3
Thelonius Bair
⇄ Sam Dalby
55'
⇄
Ethan Erhahon
⇄ Ryan Hardie
55'
⇄
Josh Sheehan
Yellow Card
63'
▮
⇄
69'
T. Conway
⇄ Maximilian Arfsten
⚽
1–4
73'
Amario Cozier-Duberry
assist: Riley McGree
Kyliane Dong
⇄ Xavier Simons
74'
⇄
⚽
1–5
78'
Will Lankshear
assist: Riley McGree
⇄
79'
Riley McGree
⇄ Leo Castledine
⇄
79'
Amario Cozier-Duberry
⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento
⇄
79'
Will Lankshear
⇄ Kyle Joseph
⇄
86'
Sebastian Berhalter
⇄ Myles Peart-Harris
FT 1–5
Bolton
Match Stats
Middlesbrough
39%
Ball Possession
61%
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
4.16
12
Total Shots
31
4
Shots on Goal
12
5
Shots off Goal
8
3
Blocked Shots
11
7
Shots insidebox
20
5
Shots outsidebox
11
2
Corner Kicks
12
0
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
8
Goalkeeper Saves
3
366
Total passes
554
308
Passes accurate
491
9
Free Kicks
8
Bolton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Thelonius Bair F | 7.5 | 55' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 31 G. Bazunu G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (28%) | – |
| 22 Gaizka Larrazabal D | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 34 (30%) | – |
| 11 Thierry Gale M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (22%) | 2 |
| 20 Rúben Rodrigues M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | 3 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 10 Sam Dalby F | 6.3 | 35' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
| 7 Kyliane Dong M | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 39 Ryan Hardie F | 6.1 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 18 Eoin Toal D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (34%) | – |
| 4 Xavier Simons M | 5.9 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 25 Max Conway D | 5.9 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 24 (23%) | – |
| 21 Ethan Erhahon M | 5.9 | 55' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 8 Josh Sheehan M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (35%) | 1 |
| 14 Akin Famewo D | 5.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 2 |
| 17 A. Ito M | 5.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 5 Lewis Brunt D | 5.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 1 |
Middlesbrough
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Will Lankshear F | 9.2 | 79' | 2 | – | 6 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 11 Amario Cozier-Duberry M | 8.8 | 79' | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 8 Riley McGree M | 8.6 | 79' | – | 2 | 2 | 45 (41%) | – |
| 10 Aidan Morris M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 71 (64%) | 2 |
| 9 T. Conway M | 7.7 | 69' | – | 1 | 6 | 38 (36%) | – |
| 6 Sebastian Berhalter M | 7.2 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 43 (38%) | 1 |
| 30 Neto Borges D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (64%) | 3 |
| 2 Callum Brittain D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 49 (43%) | 1 |
| 29 Adilson Malanda D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 100 (89%) | 2 |
| 1 Radek Vitek G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 17 Maximilian Arfsten D | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 19 Leo Castledine M | 6.4 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 22 Kyle Joseph F | 6.4 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 14 Myles Peart-Harris M | 6.3 | 4' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 4 Ashley Phillips D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (48%) | – |
| 16 Jeremy Sarmiento F | 6.1 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (58%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Middlesbrough
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Bolton
LWLLD
Middlesbrough
DLWWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
19%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
58%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Bolton
S. Dalby
6 gls
Middlesbrough
W. Lankshear
13 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bolton vs Middlesbrough
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Bolton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Derby | L | 3 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | A Charlton | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Bristol City | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Oct | H Middlesbrough | L | 1 - 5 |
| 17 Oct | A Southampton | D | 0 - 0 |
Middlesbrough — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Watford | D | 0 - 0 |
| 04 Nov | A Wrexham | L | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Charlton | W | 3 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | A Bolton | W | 1 - 5 |
| 17 Oct | H Cardiff | D | 2 - 2 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Middlesbrough
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: K. Hellberg
1
Vítek
30
Borges
29
Malanda
4
Phillips
2
Brittain
6
Berhalter
10
Morris
9
Conway
8
McGree
11
Cozier-Duberry
7
Lankshear
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Vítek | G |
| 2 | C. Brittain | D |
| 4 | A. Phillips | D |
| 29 | A. Malanda | D |
| 30 | Neto Borges | D |
| 10 | A. Morris | M |
| 6 | S. Berhalter | M |
| 11 | A. Cozier-Duberry | M |
| 8 | R. McGree | M |
| 9 | T. Conway | M |
| 7 | W. Lankshear | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | J. Sarmiento | F |
| 14 | M. Peart-Harris | M |
| 22 | K. Joseph | F |
| 19 | Leo Castledine | M |
| 3 | S. Byram | D |
| 31 | S. Brynn | G |
| 18 | C. Barron | M |
| 12 | L. Ayling | D |
| 17 | M. Arfsten | D |
Bolton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Schumacher
31
Bazunu
14
Famewo
5
Brunt
18
Toal
22
Larrazabal
21
Erhahon
8
Sheehan
11
Gale
20
Rodrigues
7
Dong
9
Bair
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | G. Bazunu | G |
| 22 | Gaizka Larrazabal | D |
| 18 | E. Toal | D |
| 5 | L. Brunt | D |
| 14 | A. Famewo | D |
| 8 | J. Sheehan | M |
| 21 | E. Erhahon | M |
| 7 | K. Dong | M |
| 20 | Ruben Rodrigues | M |
| 11 | T. Gale | M |
| 9 | T. Bair | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | J. Bonham | G |
| 25 | M. Conway | D |
| 10 | S. Dalby | F |
| 6 | B. Davies | D |
| 39 | R. Hardie | F |
| 16 | S. Iling-Junior | F |
| 17 | A. Ito | M |
| 4 | X. Simons | M |
| 27 | Luca Stephenson | M |