Southampton vs Bolton Prognose

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Southampton
64%
21%
15%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Southampton vs. Bolton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Southampton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 64%, für Bolton 15% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 17 Oct 2026, 15:54.

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  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 74%
  • Under 4.5 75%
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Timeline

Cyle Larin ⇄ Lewis Dobbin
41' ⇄
▮ 44'
Akin Famewo Yellow Card
⇄ 45'
A. Ito ⇄ Rúben Rodrigues
Tom Fellows ⇄ Kuryu Matsuki
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
Cameron Bragg Yellow Card
59' ▮
⇄ 61'
Xavier Simons ⇄ Ethan Erhahon
⇄ 61'
Thierry Gale ⇄ Kyliane Dong
Welington ⇄ Ryan Manning
73' ⇄
Cameron Bragg ⇄ Samuel Edozie
73' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Sam Dalby ⇄ Thelonius Bair
▮ 76'
Lewis Brunt Yellow Card
▮ 83'
Thelonius Bair Yellow Card
Kuryu Matsuki Yellow Card
85' ▮
⇄ 87'
Gaizka Larrazabal ⇄ Samuel Iling Junior
▮ 88'
Luca Stephenson Yellow Card
FT 0–0
Southampton

Match Stats

Bolton
62% Ball Possession 38%
1.91 Expected Goals (xG) 1.22
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 7
11 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 3
10 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
609 Total passes 366
529 Passes accurate 271
8 Free Kicks 7
Southampton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Keven Schlotterbeck D 7.3 90' – – 1 77 (69%) 1
1 Daniel Peretz G 7.3 90' – – – 38 (32%) –
23 Samuel Edozie M 7.2 17' – – 2 5 (4%) –
18 Tom Fellows M 7.1 46' – – 1 20 (18%) 1
7 Leo Scienza M 7.1 90' – – 2 34 (31%) –
30 James Ward-Prowse M 7.0 90' – – – 70 (65%) 1
5 Jack Stephens D 6.9 90' – – – 93 (85%) –
27 Kuryu Matsuki M 6.9 44' – – 1 28 (26%) –
14 James Bree D 6.8 90' – – 2 25 (22%) –
34 Welington D 6.7 73' – – 1 40 (33%) 1
3 Ryan Manning D 6.6 17' – – – 14 (10%) 1
26 Cameron Bragg M 6.6 73' – – – 64 (55%) 2
9 Cyle Larin F 6.5 41' – – 1 5 (2%) –
10 Finn Azaz M 6.5 90' – – 1 52 (37%) 1
11 Lewis Dobbin F 6.2 49' – – 2 12 (10%) –
Bolton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Rúben Rodrigues F 7.2 44' – – 2 9 (5%) –
31 G. Bazunu G 7.1 90' – – – 52 (27%) –
11 Thierry Gale M 6.9 61' – – 3 10 (8%) 1
5 Lewis Brunt D 6.8 90' – – – 32 (31%) 2
10 Sam Dalby F 6.7 73' – – 1 16 (9%) –
18 Eoin Toal D 6.7 90' – – 1 49 (41%) 1
7 Kyliane Dong F 6.7 29' – – 1 7 (5%) 1
9 Thelonius Bair F 6.6 17' – – 2 3 (3%) –
21 Ethan Erhahon M 6.6 29' – – – 13 (11%) –
16 Samuel Iling Junior F 6.5 3' – – – – –
17 A. Ito M 6.5 46' – – – 9 (5%) 1
22 Gaizka Larrazabal M 6.4 87' – – – 23 (16%) –
27 Luca Stephenson D 6.4 90' – – – 26 (21%) 1
4 Xavier Simons M 6.3 61' – – 1 26 (20%) –
8 Josh Sheehan M 6.2 90' – – 1 45 (37%) 1
14 Akin Famewo D 6.1 90' – – 1 39 (29%) –
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Southampton
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Southampton
LDWWD
Bolton
LWLLD
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
15%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Southampton
C. Larin 7 gls
K. Matsuki 4 gls
Bolton
S. Dalby 6 gls

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Head to Head: Southampton vs Bolton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Southampton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Preston L 1 - 0
03 Nov A West Brom D 1 - 1
31 Oct H QPR W 4 - 1
24 Oct A West Ham W 2 - 3
17 Oct H Bolton D 0 - 0

Bolton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Derby L 3 - 1
03 Nov A Charlton W 0 - 1
31 Oct H Bristol City L 2 - 3
23 Oct H Middlesbrough L 1 - 5
17 Oct A Southampton D 0 - 0

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Southampton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Peretz
34 Welington
13 Schlotterbeck
5 Stephens
14 Bree
26 Bragg
30 Ward-Prowse
7 Scienza
10 Azaz
18 Fellows
9 Larin

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Daniel Peretz G
14 J. Bree D
5 J. Stephens D
13 K. Schlotterbeck D
34 Welington D
30 J. Ward-Prowse M
26 Cameron Bragg M
18 T. Fellows M
10 F. Azaz M
7 Léo Scienza M
9 C. Larin F

Substitutes

25 G. Long G
8 C. Jander M
23 S. Edozie M
11 L. Dobbin F
6 Z. Abbott D
27 K. Matsuki M
28 D. Mubama F
3 R. Manning D
15 N. Wood-Gordon D

Bolton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Schumacher
31 Bazunu
14 Famewo
5 Brunt
18 Toal
27 Stephenson
4 Simons
8 Sheehan
11 Gale
17 Ito
22 Larrazabal
10 Dalby

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 G. Bazunu G
27 Luca Stephenson D
18 E. Toal D
5 L. Brunt D
14 A. Famewo D
8 J. Sheehan M
4 X. Simons M
22 Gaizka Larrazabal M
17 A. Ito M
11 T. Gale M
10 S. Dalby F

Substitutes

1 J. Bonham G
25 M. Conway D
6 B. Davies D
7 K. Dong F
21 E. Erhahon M
39 R. Hardie F
16 S. Iling-Junior F
20 Ruben Rodrigues F
9 T. Bair F

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