Watford vs Burnley Prognose
FT
Vicarage Road, Watford
KI-Tipp
Burnley oder Unentschieden
35%
28%
37%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Watford vs. Burnley Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Watford eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 35%, für Burnley 37% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 10 Oct 2026, 15:55.
Premium-Tipps
Premium- Auswärtsteam trifft 76%
- Heimteam trifft 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
13'
Jacob Bruun Larsen
assist: Reo Hatate
⚽
0–2
19'
Zeki Amdouni
⚽
0–3
25'
Reo Hatate
assist: Lucas Pires
Iker Bravo
⇄ Othmane Maamma
35'
⇄
Soumaila Coulibaly
⇄ Jordan Zemura
45'
⇄
Luca Kjerrumgaard
⇄ Martín Payero
45'
⇄
HT 0–3
Amin Nabizada
⇄ Myron Boadu
60'
⇄
⇄
62'
Zeki Amdouni
⇄ Marcus Edwards
⇄
63'
Largie Ramazani
⇄ Jamie Vardy
Mamadou Doumbia
⇄ Rocco Vata
69'
⇄
⇄
74'
Jacob Bruun Larsen
⇄ Dastan Satpaev
⇄
84'
Max Alleyne
⇄ Armando Broja
⚽
0–4
87'
Marcus Edwards
assist: Lucas Pires
FT 0–4
Watford
Match Stats
Burnley
52%
Ball Possession
48%
0.47
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
14
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Goal
8
6
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
5
7
Shots insidebox
12
7
Shots outsidebox
5
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
5
8
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
448
Total passes
421
396
Passes accurate
349
10
Free Kicks
8
Watford
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Federico Ravaglia G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (24%) | 1 |
| 9 Luca Kjerrumgaard F | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 6 Matthew Pollock D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (64%) | 1 |
| 5 Hector Kyprianou M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 49 (46%) | 2 |
| 11 Rocco Vata F | 6.4 | 21' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 33 Jordan Zemura D | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | 3 |
| 7 Othmane Maamma F | 6.3 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 21 (20%) | 3 |
| 39 Edo Kayembe M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (29%) | 3 |
| 29 Branimir Mlačić D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (71%) | 2 |
| 22 Martín Payero M | 6.1 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 3 Soumaila Coulibaly D | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 21 Amin Nabizada M | 6.0 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 19 (12%) | – |
| 20 Mamadou Doumbia M | 6.0 | 69' | – | – | 3 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 10 Myron Boadu F | 5.9 | 30' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 17 Iker Bravo M | 5.8 | 35' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 23 Haktab Omar Traore D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | – |
Burnley
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Reo Hatate M | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 (33%) | – |
| 23 Lucas Pires D | 9.0 | 90' | – | 2 | 2 | 36 (32%) | 5 |
| 7 Jacob Bruun Larsen M | 8.2 | 74' | 1 | – | 3 | 36 (29%) | – |
| 11 Zeki Amdouni F | 7.9 | 62' | 1 | – | 3 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 37 Grégoire Coudert G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 10 Marcus Edwards F | 7.6 | 28' | 1 | – | 4 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 44 Igor Júlio D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (51%) | 3 |
| 2 Kyle Walker D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (47%) | 3 |
| 15 Anel Ahmedhodžić D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (61%) | 2 |
| 29 Josh Laurent M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 12 Dastan Satpaev F | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 19 Largie Ramazani M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 22 (15%) | 2 |
| 27 Armando Broja F | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 Jamie Vardy F | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 3 Max Alleyne M | 6.2 | 84' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Burnley oder Unentschieden
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Watford
DWLLW
Burnley
LDDLL
Last 3 meetings
Watford · 0W 1D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
35%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
37%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Watford vs Burnley
0
Watford Wins
1
Draws
2
Burnley Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2022 | Watford | 1 - 2 | Burnley |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Burnley | 0 - 0 | Watford |
| 25 Jun 2020 | Burnley | 1 - 0 | Watford |
Watford — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Middlesbrough | D | 0 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | H Lincoln | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Norwich | L | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Wolves | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Charlton | W | 2 - 0 |
Burnley — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Cardiff | L | 5 - 4 |
| 03 Nov | A QPR | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Portsmouth | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Lincoln | L | 4 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | H Wolves | L | 1 - 2 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Burnley
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: N. Hayen
37
Coudert
23
Pires
44
Igor
15
Ahmedhodžić
2
Walker
3
Alleyne
29
Laurent
19
Ramazani
5
Hatate
7
Larsen
11
Amdouni
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | G. Coudert | G |
| 2 | K. Walker | D |
| 15 | A. Ahmedhodžić | D |
| 44 | Igor | D |
| 23 | Lucas Pires | D |
| 29 | J. Laurent | M |
| 3 | Max Alleyne | M |
| 7 | J. Bruun Larsen | M |
| 5 | R. Hatate | M |
| 19 | L. Ramazani | M |
| 11 | Z. Amdouni | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | M. Edwards | F |
| 18 | H. Ekdal | D |
| 17 | A. Hountondji | F |
| 14 | C. Roberts | D |
| 12 | D. Satpaev | F |
| 22 | O. Sonne | D |
| 9 | J. Vardy | F |
| 1 | M. Weiß | G |
| 27 | A. Broja | F |
Watford
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Dionisi
1
Ravaglia
3
Coulibaly
29
Mlačić
6
Pollock
23
Traoré
5
Kyprianou
39
Kayembe
21
Nabizada
17
Bravo
20
Doumbia
9
Kjerrumgaard
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Ravaglia | G |
| 23 | O. Traoré | D |
| 6 | M. Pollock | D |
| 29 | Branimir Mlačić | D |
| 3 | S. Coulibaly | D |
| 39 | E. Kayembe | M |
| 5 | H. Kyprianou | M |
| 20 | M. Doumbia | M |
| 17 | Iker Bravo | M |
| 21 | Amin Nabizada | M |
| 9 | L. Kjerrumgaard | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | R. Vata | F |
| 33 | J. Zemura | D |
| 26 | D. Bachmann | G |
| 10 | M. Boadu | F |
| 16 | M. Bola | D |
| 4 | K. Keben | D |
| 7 | O. Maamma | F |
| 45 | S. Mavididi | F |
| 22 | M. Payero | M |