Bolton vs Cardiff Prognose

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
36%
27%
37%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Bolton vs. Cardiff Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Bolton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 36%, für Cardiff 37% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 12 Sep 2026, 13:25.

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Timeline

Ben Davies Yellow Card
31' ▮
Kyliane Dong Yellow Card
32' ▮
Samuel Iling Junior Yellow Card
37' ▮
▮ 42'
Joel Colwill Yellow Card
Sam Dalby ⇄ Thelonius Bair
45' ⇄
Samuel Iling Junior ⇄ Thierry Gale
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
▮ 54'
Perry Ng Yellow Card
⇄ 59'
Joel Colwill ⇄ David Turnbull
Rúben Rodrigues ⇄ A. Ito
64' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Chris Willock ⇄ Cian Ashford
⇄ 75'
Yousef Salech ⇄ Callum Robinson
Kyliane Dong ⇄ Jayden Nelson
75' ⇄
Jayden Nelson Yellow Card
78' ▮
Ethan Erhahon ⇄ Ryan Hardie
83' ⇄
Thierry Gale assist: Thelonius Bair
90' ⚽ 1–0
Thierry Gale Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
⇄ 90+2'
Joel Bagan ⇄ Calum Scanlon
⇄ 90+2'
Alex Robertson ⇄ Ronan Kpakio
FT 1–0
Bolton

Match Stats

Cardiff
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 10
1 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Corner Kicks 10
3 Offsides 7
16 Fouls 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
10 Goalkeeper Saves 4
338 Total passes 483
250 Passes accurate 400
12 Free Kicks 15
Bolton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 G. Bazunu G 9.0 90' – – – 41 (21%) –
11 Thierry Gale F 7.6 45' 1 – 1 12 (8%) 2
22 Gaizka Larrazabal D 7.4 90' – – – 24 (19%) 3
25 Max Conway D 7.4 90' – – 1 34 (24%) 9
6 Ben Davies D 7.2 90' – – – 26 (24%) 1
18 Eoin Toal D 7.1 90' – – – 43 (38%) 2
8 Josh Sheehan M 7.0 90' – – 1 40 (35%) –
20 Rúben Rodrigues M 6.9 64' – – 1 20 (16%) –
17 A. Ito M 6.9 26' – – – 4 (3%) 2
16 Samuel Iling Junior M 6.8 45' – – 2 18 (12%) –
9 Thelonius Bair F 6.7 45' – 1 – 4 (2%) 1
10 Sam Dalby F 6.7 45' – – – 12 (6%) 3
21 Ethan Erhahon M 6.5 83' – – – 36 (30%) 4
39 Ryan Hardie F 6.5 7' – – – 2 (1%) –
7 Kyliane Dong M 6.4 75' – – 1 16 (9%) 1
26 Jayden Nelson F 6.3 15' – – – 6 (2%) 1
Cardiff
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Joel Bagan D 7.7 89' – – – 53 (49%) 1
1 Nathan Trott G 7.6 90' – – – 51 (44%) –
16 Chris Willock M 7.1 74' – – 3 19 (16%) –
4 Gabriel Osho D 7.0 90' – – – 72 (68%) 1
18 Alex Robertson M 6.9 89' – – 1 50 (41%) 1
5 Krystian Bielik D 6.7 90' – – 1 90 (75%) –
11 Ollie Tanner M 6.6 90' – – 3 27 (19%) 2
47 Callum Robinson F 6.6 15' – – 1 4 (3%) –
14 David Turnbull M 6.5 31' – – – 17 (16%) –
45 Cian Ashford F 6.5 16' – – 1 4 (4%) –
9 Yousef Salech F 6.3 75' – – 4 11 (9%) –
27 Joel Colwill M 6.3 59' – – 2 19 (14%) 1
38 Perry Ng D 6.1 90' – – – 40 (26%) 4
8 Jack Moylan M 6.0 90' – – 1 21 (12%) 1
44 Ronan Kpakio D 0.0 1' – – – 3 (2%) –
23 Calum Scanlon D 0.0 1' – – – 2 (2%) –
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
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Bolton
WWLLL
Cardiff
WLDLL
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
37%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bolton
T. Gale 3 gls
Cardiff
J. Moylan 3 gls

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Head to Head: Bolton vs Cardiff

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Bolton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Norwich W 3 - 4
12 Sep H Cardiff W 1 - 0
08 Sep H West Ham L 2 - 3
05 Sep A Millwall L 4 - 0
01 Sep A Sheffield Utd L 3 - 2

Cardiff — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Charlton W 3 - 1
12 Sep A Bolton L 1 - 0
08 Sep H Stoke City D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Portsmouth L 2 - 0
02 Sep A QPR L 2 - 1

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Swansea
8 5 2 1 +7 17
2
West Ham
8 4 3 1 +11 15
3
Middlesbrough
8 4 3 1 +4 15
4
Wolves
7 4 2 1 +5 14
5
West Brom
8 4 2 2 +2 14
6
QPR
8 3 4 1 +3 13
7
Stoke City
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Bristol City
8 4 1 3 -1 13
9
Charlton
8 3 3 2 -3 12
10
Birmingham
8 2 5 1 +1 11
11
Millwall
8 3 2 3 0 11
12
Lincoln
8 3 2 3 -1 11
13
Southampton
8 4 2 2 +9 10
14
Wrexham
8 2 4 2 -3 10
15
Bolton
8 3 1 4 -4 10
16
Blackburn
8 2 3 3 0 9
17
Norwich
8 3 0 5 -1 9
18
Sheffield Utd
8 2 3 3 -2 9
19
Portsmouth
7 2 2 3 -1 8
20
Watford
8 2 2 4 -3 8
21
Cardiff
8 1 4 3 -2 7
22
Derby
8 1 2 5 -7 5
23
Preston
8 1 1 6 -7 4
24
Burnley
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Cardiff

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
1 Trott
3 Bagan
4 Osho
5 Bielik
38 Ng
27 Colwill
18 Robertson
16 Willock
8 Moylan
11 Tanner
9 Salech

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Trott G
38 P. Ng D
5 K. Bielik D
4 G. Osho D
3 J. Bagan D
18 A. Robertson M
27 J. Colwill M
11 O. Tanner M
8 J. Moylan M
16 C. Willock M
9 Y. Salech F

Substitutes

44 R. Kpakio D
43 P. Moreno M
23 C. Scanlon D
33 R. Tankiewicz M
14 D. Turnbull M
41 M. Turner G
30 H. Tyrer G
45 Cian Ashford F
47 C. Robinson F

Bolton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Schumacher
31 Bazunu
25 Conway
6 Davies
18 Toal
22 Larrazabal
21 Erhahon
8 Sheehan
7 Dong
20 Rodrigues
16 Iling-Junior
10 Dalby

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 G. Bazunu G
22 Gaizka Larrazabal D
18 E. Toal D
6 B. Davies D
25 M. Conway D
8 J. Sheehan M
21 E. Erhahon M
16 S. Iling-Junior M
20 Ruben Rodrigues M
7 K. Dong M
10 S. Dalby F

Substitutes

1 J. Bonham G
14 A. Famewo D
17 A. Ito M
45 J. McAtee F
26 J. Nelson F
39 R. Hardie F
11 T. Gale F
4 X. Simons M
9 T. Bair F

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