Dunfermline vs Morton Prognose

Championship · Regular Season - 16

21 Nov 2026, 15:00

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Morton

Away

KI-Tipp Morton oder Unentschieden

29%

30%

41%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Dunfermline vs. Morton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Dunfermline eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 29%, für Morton 41% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Dunfermline

WWDWL

Morton

LLLDL

Last 1 meetings Dunfermline · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

29%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

41%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Morton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Dunfermline goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	9.1%	7.6%	3.6%	1.3%
1	7.2%	14.2%	8.9%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.2%	7.3%	5.2%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.0%	2.9%	2.0%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dunfermline	Draw	Morton
Dunfermline	18.0%	4.7%	2.2%
Draw	10.9%	18.5%	15.2%
Morton	1.6%	4.3%	24.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dunfermline vs Morton

1 Dunfermline Wins

0 Draws

0 Morton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Morton	0 - 1	Dunfermline

Dunfermline — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Morton	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Queen's Park	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Arbroath	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Raith Rovers	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Livingston	L	2 - 0

Morton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dunfermline	L	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Livingston	L	1 - 4
05 Sep	A Queen's Park	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Ayr Utd	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Arbroath	L	1 - 2

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.