Metz vs Saint Etienne Prognose

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 7

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Saint Etienne

Away

Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz

KI-Tipp Saint Etienne oder Unentschieden

26%

27%

47%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Metz vs. Saint Etienne Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Metz eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 26%, für Saint Etienne 47% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 19:54.

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Timeline

▮ 12'

Sohaib Nair Yellow Card

Believe Munongo Yellow Card

30' ▮

▮ 38'

Augustine Boakye Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Jessy Deminguet Yellow Card

52' ▮

⇄ 58'

Thierno Ballo ⇄ Zuriko Davitashvili

⚽ 0–1 67'

Kevin Pedro assist: Augustine Boakye

⚽ 0–2 71'

Augustine Boakye assist: Áron Csongvai

Hamza Kadamani ⇄ Jahyann Pandore

72' ⇄

Believe Munongo

72' ⇄

assist: Jean Ruiz

79' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 80'

Jakob Breum ⇄ T. Svetlin

⇄ 80'

Irvin Cardona ⇄ Joshua Duffus

▮ 81'

Julien Le Cardinal Yellow Card

Jean Ruiz ⇄ Idris Mohamed

83' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Augustine Boakye ⇄ Adam Baallal

⇄ 86'

Julien Le Cardinal ⇄ Chico Lamba

Jessy Deminguet

89' ⚽ 2–2

▮ 90'

Kevin Pedro Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Metz

Match Stats

Saint Etienne

54% Ball Possession 46%

9 Total Shots 12

3 Shots on Goal 6

4 Shots off Goal 5

2 Blocked Shots 1

6 Shots insidebox 8

3 Shots outsidebox 4

3 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 4

14 Fouls 21

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

459 Total passes 400

406 Passes accurate 339

20 Free Kicks 11

Metz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Jessy Deminguet M	8.1	90'	1	–	2	40 (38%)	2
Seamus Maughan	7.4	18'	1	–	2	2 (1%)	–
5 Jean Ruiz D	7.3	83'	–	1	–	78 (70%)	4
10 Teji Savanier M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	56 (50%)	2
42 Cristian Castro D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	82 (78%)	–
70 Bouna Sarr D	7.0	90'	–	–	2	45 (41%)	2
1 Jonathan Fischer G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	39 (35%)	–
11 Pape Moussa Fall F	6.7	90'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
21 Jahyann Pandore F	6.6	18'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
9 Giorgi Abuashvili M	6.5	90'	–	–	2	20 (18%)	1
98 Idris Mohamed D	6.3	7'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
38 Hamza Kadamani M	6.3	72'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	2
18 Believe Munongo M	6.2	72'	–	–	–	23 (22%)	1
3 Florian Miguel D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	33 (23%)	1

Saint Etienne

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Augustine Boakye M	8.6	86'	1	1	3	33 (29%)	3
14 Áron Csongvai M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	63 (57%)	2
23 Kevin Pedro D	7.6	90'	1	–	2	37 (31%)	6
22 Zuriko Davitashvili F	7.2	32'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	1
11 Benjamin Old D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	1
10 Jakob Breum F	6.8	80'	–	–	2	34 (26%)	–
8 Thierno Ballo M	6.7	58'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	2
26 Julien Le Cardinal D	6.5	86'	–	–	1	40 (36%)	3
6 Maxime Bernauer M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	57 (51%)	–
17 Joshua Duffus F	6.4	10'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
15 Chico Lamba D	6.4	4'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
18 Sohaib Nair D	6.3	90'	–	–	2	36 (31%)	–
7 Irvin Cardona F	6.3	80'	–	–	1	24 (17%)	1
16 T. Svetlin M	6.2	10'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
32 Adam Baallal M	6.2	4'	–	–	–	–	–
30 Gautier Larsonneur G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	26 (18%)	–

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Saint Etienne oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Metz

DLWDD

Saint Etienne

DLWWW

Last 3 meetings Metz · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will face Saint Etienne, both teams vying for crucial points as they aim to solidify their positions in the league. Metz has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match this season, while Saint Etienne’s attack has been inconsistent, averaging 1.3 goals per match. The matchup will hinge on Metz's ability to contain Saint Etienne's offensive threats and capitalize on any defensive lapses. With both teams boasting a mixture of youth and experience, tactical discipline will be key in determining the outcome.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Saint Etienne leads 1-2. Win probability: 92.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 7.8%.

80' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Saint Etienne win probability: 89.7%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 27.3%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Saint Etienne leads 0-2. Win probability: 98.6%. Comeback chance: 1.4%.

72' Goal 85% sure

Saint Etienne now leads 0-2 with 98.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 43.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

26%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Saint Etienne goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	4	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

Saint Etienne

I. Cardona 4 gls

A. Boakye 4 gls

T. Ballo 4 gls

J. Breum 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

27%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

27%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	7.9%	7.9%	4.5%	1.9%
1	5.2%	12.8%	9.6%	5.4%	2.3%
2	4.1%	6.9%	5.8%	3.3%	1.4%
3	1.6%	2.8%	2.3%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Metz	Draw	Saint Etienne
Metz	13.6%	3.7%	2.0%
Draw	10.9%	16.2%	14.7%
Saint Etienne	2.2%	5.2%	31.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Metz vs Saint Etienne

0 Metz Wins

1 Draws

2 Saint Etienne Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Jun 2024	Metz	2 - 2	Saint Etienne
30 May 2024	Saint Etienne	2 - 1	Metz
06 Mar 2022	Saint Etienne	1 - 0	Metz

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Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Saint Etienne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Metz	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Dunkerque	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Montpellier	W	3 - 1
31 Aug	A Dijon	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H Grenoble	W	4 - 0

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5