Boulogne vs Nantes Prognose

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 7

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Nantes

Away

Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer

KI-Tipp Nantes oder Unentschieden

31%

39%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Boulogne vs. Nantes Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Boulogne eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 31%, für Nantes 39% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 14:01.

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Auswärtsteam trifft 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Über 1,5 Tore 71%

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Timeline

▮ 35'

Frédéric Guilbert Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 49'

Ignatius Ganago assist: Ibrahima Sissoko

Nolan Binet assist: Noah Fatar

52' ⚽ 1–1

Abdel Hbouch ⇄ Mohamed Soumah

53' ⇄

⇄ 62'

B. Pierret ⇄ Johann Lepenant

⇄ 62'

Mathieu Cafaro ⇄ Antoine Joujou

Joffrey Bultel ⇄ Jonas Martin

65' ⇄

Mathieu Mion Yellow Card

77' ▮

Noah Fatar ⇄ Aurelien Platret

82' ⇄

Benjamin Besic ⇄ L. Etonde

82' ⇄

Theo Epailly ⇄ Sonny Duflos

82' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Ryad Hachem ⇄ Louis Leroux

⇄ 83'

Ignatius Ganago ⇄ Amine Cherni

⇄ 90'

Fodé Doucouré ⇄ Dehmaine Tabibou

Mathieu Mion Red Card

90+3' ▮

Blondy Nna Noukeu Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

⚽ 1–2 90+7'

Thomas Robinet Penalty

FT 1–2

Boulogne

Match Stats

Nantes

49% Ball Possession 51%

10 Total Shots 11

2 Shots on Goal 2

3 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 3

3 Shots insidebox 9

7 Shots outsidebox 2

1 Corner Kicks 6

5 Offsides 4

16 Fouls 16

1 Yellow Cards 1

1 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 1

415 Total passes 405

272 Passes accurate 278

16 Free Kicks 15

Boulogne

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Nolan Binet M	7.2	90'	1	–	2	45 (31%)	5
11 Noah Fatar F	7.0	82'	–	1	2	27 (17%)	6
10 Abdel Hbouch F	6.6	53'	–	–	1	11 (10%)	–
64 Theo Epailly M	6.5	82'	–	–	1	11 (7%)	–
36 Mohamed Soumah M	6.4	37'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	2
21 Aurelien Platret D	6.3	8'	–	–	–	7 (2%)	–
13 L. Etonde F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	–	–
8 Jonas Martin M	6.1	25'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	2
17 Benjamin Besic F	6.1	82'	–	–	–	17 (8%)	–
25 A. Kerriou D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	53 (35%)	1
22 Sonny Duflos D	5.9	8'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
20 Théo Brusco D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	58 (42%)	1
99 Blondy Nna Noukeu G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	60 (37%)	–
18 Demba Thiam D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	44 (28%)	–
14 Joffrey Bultel M	5.4	65'	–	–	2	23 (14%)	1
29 Mathieu Mion M	4.6	90'	–	–	1	21 (9%)	1

Nantes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
37 Ignatius Ganago F	7.8	83'	1	–	1	22 (15%)	–
28 Ibrahima Sissoko M	7.0	90'	–	1	1	37 (24%)	3
27 Thomas Robinet F	6.9	90'	1	–	2	15 (10%)	–
1 Maxime Dupé G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	39 (30%)	1
24 Frédéric Guilbert D	6.6	90'	–	–	2	44 (35%)	2
75 Amine Cherni D	6.6	7'	–	–	1	8 (3%)	–
5 Lucas Perrin D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	52 (40%)	2
44 B. Pierret M	6.5	62'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	2
19 Louis Leroux M	6.4	7'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
7 Antoine Joujou F	6.4	28'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
20 Mathieu Cafaro M	6.3	62'	–	–	2	14 (5%)	–
8 Johann Lepenant M	6.3	28'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	3
26 Ryad Hachem D	6.3	83'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
13 Fodé Doucouré D	6.1	89'	–	–	–	40 (23%)	1
4 Saïdou Sow D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	53 (33%)	1
17 Dehmaine Tabibou M	0.0	1'	–	–	–	1	–

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Nantes oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Boulogne

LDDDD

Nantes

WLWDL

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash between Boulogne and Nantes, both teams will be looking to secure crucial points. Boulogne's performance has been characterized by a solid defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season. Conversely, Nantes has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.8 goals per match. With Boulogne's defensive stability against Nantes' attacking inefficiencies, the home side may hold the edge in this matchup. Key players to watch will be Boulogne's goalkeeper, who has made critical saves, and Nantes' top scorer, who needs to step up to change their fortunes.

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Nantes win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.2%. Late goal chance: 32.9%.

52' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 48.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

49' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Nantes win: 75.8%. BTTS: 40.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 68.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 35.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

39%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nantes goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	10	7	3	1
1	8	15	8	4	1
2	6	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Boulogne goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Boulogne

No scorer data.

Nantes

W. Younoussa 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

31%

Home Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

31%

Home Win

31%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 31% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	9.8%	7.5%	3.2%	1.1%
1	8.3%	14.7%	8.4%	3.7%	1.2%
2	5.6%	7.3%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.1%	2.8%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Boulogne	Draw	Nantes
Boulogne	16.8%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	12.9%	19.8%	14.3%
Nantes	1.9%	4.8%	23.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Boulogne vs Nantes

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Boulogne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Nantes	L	1 - 2
11 Sep	A Clermont Foot	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Dijon	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Montpellier	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H RED Star FC 93	D	1 - 1

Nantes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Boulogne	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Nancy	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Guingamp	D	3 - 3
22 Aug	H Rodez	L	2 - 5

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5