Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 14

25 Oct 2026, 00:00

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Guadalajara Chivas

Away

KI-Tipp Monterrey oder Unentschieden

40%

32%

28%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Monterrey vs. Guadalajara Chivas Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Monterrey eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 40%, für Guadalajara Chivas 28% und für ein Unentschieden 32%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Monterrey

WDLDL

Guadalajara Chivas

DWWDW

Last 2 meetings Monterrey · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Monterrey will face Guadalajara Chivas. Monterrey has displayed a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, largely due to their potent attacking trio. Conversely, Chivas has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match, which could be a critical factor. Additionally, Monterrey's midfield control, with an average possession rate of 58%, may limit Chivas's chances to dominate the game. This matchup promises to be pivotal for both teams' standings as they look to solidify their positions in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Guadalajara Chivas goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	5	2
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Monterrey goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Monterrey

L. Ocampos 5 gls

Guadalajara Chivas

R. Alvarado 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

32%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

32%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	8.9%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%
1	11.6%	14.9%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%
2	8.3%	8.3%	4.1%	1.4%	0.3%
3	3.5%	3.4%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.1%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monterrey	Draw	Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey	24.0%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	15.8%	21.4%	11.6%
Guadalajara Chivas	1.8%	4.2%	15.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas

0 Monterrey Wins

0 Draws

2 Guadalajara Chivas Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara Chivas
08 Nov 2025	Guadalajara Chivas	4 - 2	Monterrey

Monterrey — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Tigres UANL	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0
03 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	H Atletico San Luis	L	1 - 3

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	A CF Pachuca	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Club Tijuana	W	5 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.