CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 13

22 Oct 2026, 03:00

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Cruz Azul

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Cruz Azul

18%

26%

56%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

CF Pachuca vs. Cruz Azul Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für CF Pachuca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 18%, für Cruz Azul 56% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Last 2 meetings CF Pachuca · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, CF Pachuca faces off against Cruz Azul. Historically, Pachuca has shown strong attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Cruz Azul's defense has been solid, conceding only 1 goal per game. The key matchup will likely be Pachuca's midfield creativity against Cruz Azul's organized defensive structure. Both teams will look to secure crucial points, making this encounter pivotal for their standings in the league. Expect a competitive match with potential for both teams to capitalize on transitional play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

18%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cruz Azul goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	10	6	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ CF Pachuca goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

75% Away (No Draw) 25% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	9.6%	10.2%	6.3%	2.9%
1	4.5%	12.2%	10.0%	6.2%	2.9%
2	2.9%	5.3%	4.9%	3.0%	1.4%
3	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Pachuca	Draw	Cruz Azul
CF Pachuca	10.3%	4.0%	2.7%
Draw	7.4%	15.7%	18.9%
Cruz Azul	1.3%	3.9%	35.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul

1 CF Pachuca Wins

0 Draws

1 Cruz Azul Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Apr 2026	Cruz Azul	1 - 2	CF Pachuca
13 Sep 2025	CF Pachuca	0 - 1	Cruz Azul

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.