Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 12

18 Oct 2026, 03:00

Post on X

FC Juarez

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

KI-Tipp Cruz Azul gewinnt

84%

13%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Cruz Azul vs. FC Juarez Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Cruz Azul eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 84%, für FC Juarez 3% und für ein Unentschieden 13%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 19.8%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Cruz Azul

LLWWW

FC Juarez

WLLLL

Last 2 meetings Cruz Azul · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

Cruz Azul faces FC Juarez in a Liga MX matchup that promises to be competitive. Cruz Azul has historically performed well at home, leveraging their strong attacking metrics, with an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. FC Juarez, on the other hand, has shown resilience, particularly in defense, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match. The outcome may hinge on Cruz Azul's ability to convert chances against a Juarez side that often prioritizes a compact defensive structure. Both teams will look to secure vital points as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

84%

45%

Draw

13%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Juarez goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	15	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	10	3
5	5	2

↑ Cruz Azul goals · most likely 2–0 (19.8%)

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Players in form

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

FC Juarez

Ó. Estupiñán 5 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

62% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

84% Home Scores More 13% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	15.3%	5.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.8%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.5%	5.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.3%	3.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruz Azul	Draw	FC Juarez
Cruz Azul	60.5%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	23.5%	9.5%	1.2%
FC Juarez	1.4%	1.3%	1.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

Home Exact Goals

21%

27%

22%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez

2 Cruz Azul Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Juarez Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	FC Juarez	3 - 4	Cruz Azul
19 Sep 2025	Cruz Azul	3 - 2	FC Juarez

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

FC Juarez — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Tigres UANL	W	2 - 0
14 Sep	A Santos Laguna	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 2
31 Aug	A Toluca	L	4 - 0
22 Aug	H Club America	L	1 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.