Necaxa vs Club America Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 10

28 Sep 2026, 03:10

Post on X

Club America

Away

Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

KI-Tipp Club America oder Unentschieden

24%

27%

50%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Necaxa vs. Club America Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Necaxa eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 24%, für Club America 50% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 22 Sep 2026, 19:35.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Necaxa

LLDLD

Club America

DLLDW

Last 2 meetings Necaxa · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Necaxa faces Club America, a matchup that historically favors the latter, given their strong squad depth and attacking prowess. Club America has a more potent offense, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, compared to Necaxa's 1.2. Defensively, Club America has also shown resilience, conceding only 0.9 goals per match. The key to Necaxa's success will hinge on their ability to disrupt Club America's rhythm in midfield and capitalize on set pieces. Expect a competitive encounter, but Club America's form suggests they could emerge victorious.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

50%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Club America goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	4	6	6	3	1	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Necaxa goals · most likely 1–1 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Necaxa

J. Carranza 5 gls

Club America

B. Rodríguez 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

68% Away (No Draw) 32% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	8.1%	8.5%	5.0%	2.2%
1	4.8%	12.5%	9.8%	5.8%	2.6%
2	3.6%	6.4%	5.7%	3.4%	1.5%
3	1.4%	2.5%	2.2%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Necaxa	Draw	Club America
Necaxa	13.4%	4.6%	3.1%
Draw	9.3%	15.9%	18.7%
Club America	1.6%	4.0%	29.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Necaxa vs Club America

0 Necaxa Wins

1 Draws

1 Club America Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Club America	2 - 0	Necaxa
27 Jul 2025	Necaxa	1 - 1	Club America

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Puebla	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Tigres UANL	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Cruz Azul	L	1 - 3
24 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1

Club America — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Cruz Azul	L	4 - 3
06 Sep	A Leon	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Monterrey	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H Puebla	W	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.