Toluca vs Atlas Prognose
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Toluca
63%
23%
14%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Toluca vs. Atlas Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Toluca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 63%, für Atlas 14% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 13 Sep 2026, 01:49.
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Timeline
Helinho
Penalty confirmed
17'
🖵
Alexis Vega
Penalty
19'
⚽
1–0
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
assist: Nicolás Castro
22'
⚽
2–0
▮
24'
Manuel Capasso
Yellow Card
Federico Viñas
assist: Bruno Méndez
29'
⚽
3–0
Federico Viñas
⇄ Paulinho
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Arturo González
⇄ Duk
⇄
45'
Paulo Ramírez
⇄ Sergio Hernandez
HT 3–0
⚽
3–1
51'
Florián Monzón
assist: Luís Esteves
Paulinho
assist: Jesús Ricardo Angulo
53'
⚽
4–1
Helinho
Yellow Card
57'
▮
▮
57'
Milton Valenzuela
Yellow Card
Helinho
⇄ Everardo López
58'
⇄
Jorge Rodríguez
Own Goal
60'
⚽
5–1
⇄
62'
Jorge Sánchez
⇄ Elías Montiel
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
⇄ Víctor Guzmán
72'
⇄
Nicolás Castro
⇄ Pavel Pérez
72'
⇄
⚽
5–2
79'
Duk
⇄
80'
Luís Esteves
⇄ Jesús Serrato
▮
81'
Jesús Serrato
Yellow Card
Alexis Vega
⇄ Luan
83'
⇄
⇄
87'
Manuel Capasso
⇄ Adrián Mora
FT 5–2
Toluca
Match Stats
Atlas
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots off Goal
5
3
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
6
4
Shots outsidebox
4
6
Corner Kicks
8
3
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
453
Total passes
386
389
Passes accurate
316
11
Free Kicks
10
Toluca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jesús Ricardo Angulo M | 8.7 | 72' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 (21%) | 1 |
| 16 Federico Viñas F | 7.9 | 46' | 1 | – | 3 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 26 Paulinho F | 7.4 | 44' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 9 Alexis Vega M | 7.2 | 83' | 1 | – | 2 | 41 (35%) | 2 |
| 8 Nicolás Castro M | 7.1 | 72' | – | 1 | 1 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 20 Jesús Gallardo D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| 4 Bruno Méndez D | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 62 (55%) | 1 |
| 6 Federico Pereira D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | 2 |
| 13 Luan D | 6.5 | 7' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 2 |
| 12 Ronaldo Dimas G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | – |
| 5 Franco Romero M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 2 |
| 25 Everardo López D | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 2 Diego Barbosa D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 39 (31%) | 1 |
| 7 Víctor Guzmán M | 6.1 | 18' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 11 Helinho M | 6.0 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 29 (21%) | 1 |
| 15 Pavel Pérez M | 6.0 | 18' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
Atlas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Florián Monzón F | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (21%) | 2 |
| 11 Duk F | 7.3 | 44' | 1 | – | 3 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 10 Luís Esteves M | 6.6 | 80' | – | 1 | 2 | 34 (26%) | – |
| 13 Gaddi Aguirre D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (28%) | 2 |
| 18 Elías Montiel M | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 58 Arturo González M | 5.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 15 Paulo Ramírez M | 5.9 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | – |
| 23 Sergio Hernandez M | 5.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 27 Victor Rios F | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 49 (41%) | 2 |
| 192 Jesús Serrato M | 5.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 2 |
| 3 Jorge Sánchez D | 5.6 | 62' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 1 |
| 12 Camilo Vargas G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 4 Adrián Mora D | 5.5 | 3' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 28 Manuel Capasso D | 5.4 | 87' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 3 |
| 5 Jorge Rodríguez D | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | 3 |
| 16 Milton Valenzuela D | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | 5 |
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Confidence
Medium (63%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Toluca
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Toluca
LWWWW
Atlas
DLDLW
Last 2 meetings
Toluca · 0W 2D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Toluca will face Atlas, with both teams looking to assert their dominance. Toluca has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match in their last five outings, while Atlas has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals during the same period. The match could hinge on Toluca's ability to capitalize on their goal-scoring opportunities, particularly against an Atlas side that has been inconsistent away from home. Key players to watch include Toluca's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent performances, and Atlas's defense, which must tighten to avoid further setbacks.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
14%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Toluca
F. Viñas
4 gls
Atlas
Luís Esteves
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Toluca vs Atlas
0
Toluca Wins
2
Draws
0
Atlas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Toluca | 1 - 1 | Atlas |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Atlas | 0 - 0 | Toluca |
Toluca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | H Santos Laguna | L | 2 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Puebla | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Atlas | W | 5 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | H Monterrey | W | 2 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Leon | W | 2 - 0 |
Atlas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Toluca | L | 5 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | H Atlante FC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Club Queretaro | L | 1 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Cruz Azul | W | 0 - 2 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Toluca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Mohamed
12
Beltrán
20
Gallardo
6
Pereira
4
Méndez
2
Barbosa
10
Angulo
5
Romero
9
Vega
8
Castro
11
Helinho
16
Viñas
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | R. Beltrán | G |
| 2 | D. Barbosa | D |
| 4 | B. Méndez | D |
| 6 | F. Pereira | D |
| 20 | J. Gallardo | D |
| 5 | F. Romero | M |
| 10 | J. Angulo | M |
| 11 | Helinho | M |
| 8 | N. Castro | M |
| 9 | A. Vega | M |
| 16 | F. Viñas | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | O. Virgen | F |
| 26 | Paulinho | F |
| 3 | A. Briseño | D |
| 24 | F. Arce | M |
| 184 | S. Aceves | M |
| 13 | Luan | D |
| 7 | V. Guzmán | M |
| 25 | E. López | D |
| 15 | P. Pérez | M |
| 18 | D. Shrem | G |
Atlas
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: H. Crespo
12
Vargas
5
Rodríguez
16
Valenzuela
28
Capasso
13
Aguirre
3
Sánchez
10
Esteves
15
Ramírez
58
González
27
RÃos
9
Monzón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | C. Vargas | G |
| 3 | J. Sánchez | D |
| 13 | G. Aguirre | D |
| 28 | M. Capasso | D |
| 16 | M. Valenzuela | D |
| 5 | J. Rodríguez | D |
| 58 | A. González | M |
| 15 | Paulo Ramírez | M |
| 10 | Luís Esteves | M |
| 9 | F. Monzón | F |
| 27 | V. RÃos | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Duk | F |
| 23 | S. Hernández | M |
| 17 | J. Lozano | D |
| 203 | J. Martín | F |
| 18 | E. Montiel | M |
| 4 | A. Mora | D |
| 192 | Jesús Serrato | M |
| 22 | A. Sánchez | G |
| 44 | J. Purata | D |
| 251 | L. Gamboa | F |