Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 5

Post on X

Club Tijuana

Away

Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Guadalajara Chivas

54%

27%

18%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Guadalajara Chivas vs. Club Tijuana Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Guadalajara Chivas eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 54%, für Club Tijuana 18% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Aug 2026, 03:28.

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1st Half Draw or Away 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

Efrain Alvarez Yellow Card

8' ▮

assist: Luis Romo

23' ⚽ 1–0

Ricardo Marín assist: Diego Campillo

31' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 45+1'

Ramiro Árciga Yellow Card

Ricardo Marín Penalty

45+2' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

Diego Abreu ⇄ Elias Manoel

⇄ 46'

Pablo Nicolás Ortíz ⇄ Jesús Vega

⇄ 46'

José Rivero ⇄ Yael Padilla

Miguel Gómez Yellow Card

49' ▮

Efrain Alvarez ⇄ Luis Gabriel Rey

53' ⇄

Miguel Gómez ⇄ Brian Gutiérrez

53' ⇄

⇄ 56'

Ramiro Árciga ⇄ Francisco González

Roberto Alvarado assist: Brian Gutiérrez

59' ⚽ 4–0

⇄ Jordan Carrillo

64' ⇄

Hugo Camberos ⇄ Kevin Castañeda

64' ⇄

Diego Campillo assist: Roberto Alvarado

69' ⚽ 5–0

Ricardo Marín ⇄ Ángel Sepúlveda

72' ⇄

Luis Romo Yellow Card

73' ▮

⚽ 5–1 75'

Elias Manoel assist: Francisco González

⇄ 79'

Gilberto Mora ⇄ Ángel Zapata

⚽ 5–2 90+2'

Elias Manoel assist: Adonis Preciado

FT 5–2

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Guadalajara Chivas

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Guadalajara Chivas

DWWDW

Club Tijuana

DLWLW

Last 2 meetings Guadalajara Chivas · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

Guadalajara Chivas face Club Tijuana in an intriguing Liga MX clash. Chivas will look to leverage their strong attacking stats, having averaged 1.8 goals per match this season, while Tijuana's defense has struggled, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Chivas' midfield control could be pivotal in dictating the tempo. This match will be crucial for both teams as they seek to solidify their positions in the league standings. Expect a tightly contested encounter with potential for key individual performances to decide the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

18%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Club Tijuana goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	10	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Guadalajara Chivas goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Guadalajara Chivas

R. Alvarado 3 gls

Club Tijuana

G. Mora 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 32% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	9.8%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
1	10.8%	15.1%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.3%	7.8%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Guadalajara Chivas	Draw	Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas	20.4%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	15.1%	21.8%	13.8%
Club Tijuana	1.7%	4.1%	17.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana

0 Guadalajara Chivas Wins

2 Draws

0 Club Tijuana Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Guadalajara Chivas	0 - 0	Club Tijuana
23 Aug 2025	Club Tijuana	3 - 3	Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	A CF Pachuca	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Club Tijuana	W	5 - 2

Club Tijuana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A CF Pachuca	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Club Queretaro	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Guadalajara Chivas	L	5 - 2
17 Aug	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.