Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

13 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Rapid Vienna

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Sturm Graz

52%

25%

22%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Sturm Graz vs. Rapid Vienna Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sturm Graz eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 52%, für Rapid Vienna 22% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Rapid Vienna

WWWLW

Last 3 meetings Sturm Graz · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Sturm Graz faces Rapid Vienna in a crucial Bundesliga clash. Both teams have shown resilience this season, with Sturm Graz currently in the upper half of the table, leveraging a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Rapid Vienna, on the other hand, has been more attacking, averaging 1.8 goals per game but struggling with defensive consistency. Key players to watch include Sturm's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Rapid's playmaker, instrumental in their offensive play. This matchup could be pivotal in the race for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rapid Vienna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	7	12	6	2	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	6	4	2
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Sturm Graz goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

Rapid Vienna

T. Adamsen 4 gls

E. Kara 3 gls

P. Dahl 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	3.9%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
1	7.1%	11.6%	6.2%	2.5%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.9%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%
3	5.3%	6.4%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.6%	3.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sturm Graz	Draw	Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz	30.7%	3.6%	1.3%
Draw	19.4%	14.4%	7.7%
Rapid Vienna	3.9%	5.1%	13.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna

0 Sturm Graz Wins

0 Draws

3 Rapid Vienna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Rapid Vienna	3 - 1	Sturm Graz
02 Nov 2025	Rapid Vienna	2 - 1	Sturm Graz
10 Aug 2025	Sturm Graz	1 - 2	Rapid Vienna

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Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Rapid Vienna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H WSG Wattens	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Wolfsberger AC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A Austria Klagenfurt	W	2 - 5
02 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	5 - 1
30 Aug	H Sturm Graz	W	3 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.